Live projections
The Kinetic
Ledger.
Complete magic-number analysis for every team. Mathematical certainty vs. atmospheric variance.
Arsenal
# 01 · 69 pts98%Champion
1st
98%
UCL
✓
REL
0%
Wins for Champion
75% confidence
4W/ 8G
90% confidence
8W/ 8G
99% confidence
8W/ 8G
Manchester City
# 02 · 61 pts2%Champion
1st
2%
UCL
✓
REL
0%
Wins for Champion
75% confidence
—
90% confidence
—
99% confidence
—
Manchester United
# 03 · 54 pts86%Champions League
1st
0%
UCL
86%
REL
0%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
4W/ 8G
90% confidence
8W/ 8G
99% confidence
8W/ 8G
Aston Villa
# 04 · 51 pts66%Champions League
1st
✕
UCL
66%
REL
0%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
5W/ 8G
90% confidence
6W/ 8G
99% confidence
6W/ 8G
Liverpool
# 05 · 49 pts25%Europa League
1st
✕
UCL
17%
REL
0%
Wins for Europa League
75% confidence
5W/ 8G
90% confidence
5W/ 8G
99% confidence
6W/ 8G
Chelsea
# 06 · 48 pts31%Europa League
1st
✕
UCL
27%
REL
0%
Wins for Europa League
75% confidence
5W/ 8G
90% confidence
6W/ 8G
99% confidence
8W/ 8G
Brentford
# 07 · 45 pts7%Europa League
1st
✕
UCL
3%
REL
0%
Wins for Europa League
75% confidence
7W/ 8G
90% confidence
7W/ 8G
99% confidence
8W/ 8G
Everton
# 08 · 43 pts4%Europa League
1st
✕
UCL
1%
REL
0%
Wins for Europa League
75% confidence
7W/ 8G
90% confidence
7W/ 8G
99% confidence
8W/ 8G
Newcastle
# 09 · 42 pts2%Europa League
1st
✕
UCL
1%
REL
0%
Wins for Europa League
75% confidence
8W/ 8G
90% confidence
8W/ 8G
99% confidence
—
Fulham
# 10 · 41 pts1%Europa League
1st
✕
UCL
1%
REL
0%
Wins for Europa League
75% confidence
8W/ 8G
90% confidence
8W/ 8G
99% confidence
—
Bournemouth
# 11 · 41 pts1%Champions League
1st
✕
UCL
1%
REL
0%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
—
90% confidence
—
99% confidence
—
Brighton
# 12 · 40 pts1%Europa League
1st
✕
UCL
0%
REL
0%
Wins for Europa League
75% confidence
8W/ 8G
90% confidence
8W/ 8G
99% confidence
—
Sunderland
# 13 · 40 pts0%Champion
1st
✕
UCL
0%
REL
0%
Wins for Champion
75% confidence
—
90% confidence
—
99% confidence
—
Crystal Palace
# 14 · 39 pts1%Escape Relegation
1st
✕
UCL
0%
REL
1%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
0W/ 8G
90% confidence
0W/ 8G
99% confidence
1W/ 8G
Leeds
# 15 · 32 pts3%Escape Relegation
1st
✕
UCL
✕
REL
3%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
3W/ 8G
90% confidence
3W/ 8G
99% confidence
4W/ 8G
Tottenham
# 16 · 30 pts46%Escape Relegation
1st
✕
UCL
✕
REL
46%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
3W/ 8G
90% confidence
4W/ 8G
99% confidence
4W/ 8G
Nottingham Forest
# 17 · 29 pts21%Escape Relegation
1st
✕
UCL
✕
REL
21%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
3W/ 8G
90% confidence
4W/ 8G
99% confidence
8W/ 8G
West Ham
# 18 · 29 pts30%Escape Relegation
1st
✕
UCL
✕
REL
30%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
3W/ 8G
90% confidence
4W/ 8G
99% confidence
8W/ 8G
Burnley
# 19 · 20 pts99%Escape Relegation
1st
✕
UCL
✕
REL
✓
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
7W/ 8G
90% confidence
7W/ 8G
99% confidence
8W/ 8G
Wolves
# 20 · 16 pts99%Escape Relegation
1st
✕
UCL
✕
REL
✓
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
8W/ 8G
90% confidence
8W/ 8G
99% confidence
—