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Magic Numbers
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The Kinetic
Ledger.
Complete magic-number analysis for every team. Mathematical certainty vs. atmospheric variance.
Arsenal
# 01 · 70 pts
94%
Champion
1st
94%
UCL
✓
REL
0%
Wins for Champion
75% confidence
4
W
/ 7G
90% confidence
5
W
/ 7G
99% confidence
7
W
/ 7G
Manchester City
# 02 · 61 pts
6%
Champion
1st
6%
UCL
✓
REL
0%
Wins for Champion
75% confidence
—
90% confidence
—
99% confidence
—
Manchester United
# 03 · 55 pts
83%
Champions League
1st
1%
UCL
83%
REL
0%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
4
W
/ 7G
90% confidence
4
W
/ 7G
99% confidence
5
W
/ 7G
Aston Villa
# 04 · 54 pts
74%
Champions League
1st
1%
UCL
74%
REL
0%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
4
W
/ 7G
90% confidence
4
W
/ 7G
99% confidence
5
W
/ 7G
Liverpool
# 05 · 49 pts
23%
Europa League
1st
✕
UCL
20%
REL
0%
Wins for Europa League
75% confidence
5
W
/ 7G
90% confidence
5
W
/ 7G
99% confidence
7
W
/ 7G
Chelsea
# 06 · 48 pts
20%
Europa League
1st
✕
UCL
12%
REL
0%
Wins for Europa League
75% confidence
5
W
/ 7G
90% confidence
7
W
/ 7G
99% confidence
7
W
/ 7G
Brentford
# 07 · 46 pts
9%
Europa League
1st
✕
UCL
3%
REL
0%
Wins for Europa League
75% confidence
6
W
/ 7G
90% confidence
6
W
/ 7G
99% confidence
7
W
/ 7G
Everton
# 08 · 46 pts
14%
Europa League
1st
✕
UCL
6%
REL
0%
Wins for Europa League
75% confidence
6
W
/ 7G
90% confidence
6
W
/ 7G
99% confidence
7
W
/ 7G
Fulham
# 09 · 44 pts
3%
Europa League
1st
✕
UCL
1%
REL
0%
Wins for Europa League
75% confidence
6
W
/ 7G
90% confidence
7
W
/ 7G
99% confidence
—
Brighton
# 10 · 43 pts
3%
Europa League
1st
✕
UCL
1%
REL
0%
Wins for Europa League
75% confidence
7
W
/ 7G
90% confidence
7
W
/ 7G
99% confidence
—
Sunderland
# 11 · 43 pts
1%
Europa League
1st
✕
UCL
1%
REL
0%
Wins for Europa League
75% confidence
7
W
/ 7G
90% confidence
7
W
/ 7G
99% confidence
—
Newcastle
# 12 · 42 pts
1%
Europa League
1st
✕
UCL
1%
REL
0%
Wins for Europa League
75% confidence
7
W
/ 7G
90% confidence
—
99% confidence
—
Bournemouth
# 13 · 42 pts
1%
Europa League
1st
✕
UCL
1%
REL
1%
Wins for Europa League
75% confidence
—
90% confidence
—
99% confidence
—
Crystal Palace
# 14 · 39 pts
1%
Escape Relegation
1st
✕
UCL
1%
REL
1%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
0
W
/ 8G
90% confidence
0
W
/ 8G
99% confidence
1
W
/ 8G
Leeds
# 15 · 33 pts
3%
Escape Relegation
1st
✕
UCL
✕
REL
3%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
2
W
/ 7G
90% confidence
3
W
/ 7G
99% confidence
3
W
/ 7G
Nottingham Forest
# 16 · 32 pts
8%
Escape Relegation
1st
✕
UCL
✕
REL
8%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
2
W
/ 7G
90% confidence
2
W
/ 7G
99% confidence
3
W
/ 7G
Tottenham
# 17 · 30 pts
53%
Escape Relegation
1st
✕
UCL
✕
REL
53%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
3
W
/ 7G
90% confidence
7
W
/ 7G
99% confidence
7
W
/ 7G
West Ham
# 18 · 29 pts
37%
Escape Relegation
1st
✕
UCL
✕
REL
37%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
3
W
/ 7G
90% confidence
7
W
/ 7G
99% confidence
7
W
/ 7G
Burnley
# 19 · 20 pts
99%
Escape Relegation
1st
✕
UCL
✕
REL
✓
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
7
W
/ 7G
90% confidence
7
W
/ 7G
99% confidence
—
Wolves
# 20 · 17 pts
99%
Escape Relegation
1st
✕
UCL
✕
REL
✓
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
7
W
/ 7G
90% confidence
—
99% confidence
—