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Magic Numbers
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The Kinetic
Ledger.
Complete magic-number analysis for every team. Mathematical certainty vs. atmospheric variance.
Arsenal
# 01 · 16 pts
53%
Champions League
1st
17%
UCL
53%
REL
2%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
17
W
/ 31G
90% confidence
17
W
/ 31G
99% confidence
19
W
/ 31G
Liverpool
# 02 · 15 pts
43%
Champions League
1st
14%
UCL
43%
REL
3%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
17
W
/ 31G
90% confidence
19
W
/ 31G
99% confidence
19
W
/ 31G
Tottenham
# 03 · 14 pts
45%
Champions League
1st
14%
UCL
45%
REL
2%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
17
W
/ 31G
90% confidence
19
W
/ 31G
99% confidence
19
W
/ 31G
Bournemouth
# 04 · 14 pts
35%
Champions League
1st
8%
UCL
35%
REL
3%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
17
W
/ 31G
90% confidence
19
W
/ 31G
99% confidence
19
W
/ 31G
Manchester City
# 05 · 13 pts
38%
Champions League
1st
10%
UCL
38%
REL
2%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
18
W
/ 31G
90% confidence
18
W
/ 31G
99% confidence
19
W
/ 31G
Crystal Palace
# 06 · 12 pts
31%
Champions League
1st
9%
UCL
31%
REL
5%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
18
W
/ 31G
90% confidence
19
W
/ 31G
99% confidence
21
W
/ 31G
Chelsea
# 07 · 11 pts
22%
Champions League
1st
5%
UCL
22%
REL
5%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
18
W
/ 31G
90% confidence
19
W
/ 31G
99% confidence
21
W
/ 31G
Everton
# 08 · 11 pts
22%
Champions League
1st
4%
UCL
22%
REL
7%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
18
W
/ 31G
90% confidence
19
W
/ 31G
99% confidence
21
W
/ 31G
Sunderland
# 09 · 11 pts
19%
Champions League
1st
4%
UCL
19%
REL
10%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
18
W
/ 31G
90% confidence
19
W
/ 31G
99% confidence
21
W
/ 31G
Manchester United
# 10 · 10 pts
16%
Champions League
1st
3%
UCL
16%
REL
10%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
19
W
/ 31G
90% confidence
19
W
/ 31G
99% confidence
21
W
/ 31G
Newcastle
# 11 · 9 pts
14%
Champions League
1st
4%
UCL
14%
REL
11%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
19
W
/ 31G
90% confidence
21
W
/ 31G
99% confidence
21
W
/ 31G
Brighton
# 12 · 9 pts
15%
Champions League
1st
2%
UCL
15%
REL
10%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
19
W
/ 31G
90% confidence
21
W
/ 31G
99% confidence
21
W
/ 31G
Aston Villa
# 13 · 9 pts
12%
Champions League
1st
2%
UCL
12%
REL
13%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
19
W
/ 31G
90% confidence
21
W
/ 31G
99% confidence
21
W
/ 31G
Fulham
# 14 · 8 pts
10%
Champions League
1st
2%
UCL
10%
REL
17%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
19
W
/ 31G
90% confidence
21
W
/ 31G
99% confidence
21
W
/ 31G
Leeds
# 15 · 8 pts
10%
Champions League
1st
1%
UCL
10%
REL
16%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
19
W
/ 31G
90% confidence
21
W
/ 31G
99% confidence
21
W
/ 31G
Brentford
# 16 · 7 pts
6%
Champions League
1st
1%
UCL
6%
REL
23%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
20
W
/ 31G
90% confidence
20
W
/ 31G
99% confidence
21
W
/ 31G
Nottingham Forest
# 17 · 5 pts
4%
Champions League
1st
1%
UCL
4%
REL
34%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
20
W
/ 31G
90% confidence
21
W
/ 31G
99% confidence
23
W
/ 31G
Burnley
# 18 · 4 pts
3%
Champions League
1st
1%
UCL
3%
REL
39%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
21
W
/ 31G
90% confidence
21
W
/ 31G
99% confidence
23
W
/ 31G
West Ham
# 19 · 4 pts
3%
Champions League
1st
1%
UCL
3%
REL
38%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
21
W
/ 31G
90% confidence
21
W
/ 31G
99% confidence
23
W
/ 31G
Wolves
# 20 · 2 pts
52%
Escape Relegation
1st
0%
UCL
1%
REL
52%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
14
W
/ 31G
90% confidence
14
W
/ 31G
99% confidence
15
W
/ 31G