Live projections
The Kinetic
Ledger.
Complete magic-number analysis for every team. Mathematical certainty vs. atmospheric variance.
Arsenal
# 01 · 19 pts59%Champions League
1st
25%
UCL
59%
REL
1%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
16W/ 30G
90% confidence
16W/ 30G
99% confidence
18W/ 30G
Manchester City
# 02 · 16 pts49%Champions League
1st
17%
UCL
49%
REL
1%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
17W/ 30G
90% confidence
17W/ 30G
99% confidence
20W/ 30G
Liverpool
# 03 · 15 pts33%Champions League
1st
7%
UCL
33%
REL
3%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
17W/ 30G
90% confidence
18W/ 30G
99% confidence
20W/ 30G
Bournemouth
# 04 · 15 pts36%Champions League
1st
9%
UCL
36%
REL
3%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
17W/ 30G
90% confidence
18W/ 30G
99% confidence
20W/ 30G
Chelsea
# 05 · 14 pts33%Champions League
1st
8%
UCL
33%
REL
3%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
18W/ 30G
90% confidence
18W/ 30G
99% confidence
20W/ 30G
Tottenham
# 06 · 14 pts30%Champions League
1st
7%
UCL
30%
REL
2%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
18W/ 30G
90% confidence
18W/ 30G
99% confidence
20W/ 30G
Sunderland
# 07 · 14 pts25%Champions League
1st
6%
UCL
25%
REL
4%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
18W/ 30G
90% confidence
18W/ 30G
99% confidence
20W/ 30G
Manchester United
# 08 · 13 pts22%Champions League
1st
4%
UCL
22%
REL
5%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
18W/ 30G
90% confidence
20W/ 30G
99% confidence
20W/ 30G
Crystal Palace
# 09 · 13 pts24%Champions League
1st
4%
UCL
24%
REL
4%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
18W/ 30G
90% confidence
18W/ 30G
99% confidence
20W/ 30G
Brighton
# 10 · 12 pts22%Champions League
1st
4%
UCL
22%
REL
6%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
18W/ 30G
90% confidence
20W/ 30G
99% confidence
20W/ 30G
Aston Villa
# 11 · 12 pts15%Champions League
1st
3%
UCL
15%
REL
7%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
18W/ 30G
90% confidence
20W/ 30G
99% confidence
20W/ 30G
Everton
# 12 · 11 pts15%Champions League
1st
3%
UCL
15%
REL
10%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
19W/ 30G
90% confidence
19W/ 30G
99% confidence
20W/ 30G
Brentford
# 13 · 10 pts11%Champions League
1st
2%
UCL
11%
REL
11%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
19W/ 30G
90% confidence
19W/ 30G
99% confidence
22W/ 30G
Newcastle
# 14 · 9 pts9%Champions League
1st
1%
UCL
9%
REL
15%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
19W/ 30G
90% confidence
20W/ 30G
99% confidence
22W/ 30G
Fulham
# 15 · 8 pts6%Champions League
1st
1%
UCL
6%
REL
21%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
20W/ 30G
90% confidence
20W/ 30G
99% confidence
22W/ 30G
Leeds
# 16 · 8 pts5%Champions League
1st
1%
UCL
5%
REL
24%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
19W/ 30G
90% confidence
20W/ 30G
99% confidence
22W/ 30G
Burnley
# 17 · 7 pts5%Champions League
1st
1%
UCL
5%
REL
26%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
20W/ 30G
90% confidence
20W/ 30G
99% confidence
22W/ 30G
Nottingham Forest
# 18 · 5 pts1%Champions League
1st
1%
UCL
1%
REL
47%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
20W/ 30G
90% confidence
22W/ 30G
99% confidence
22W/ 30G
West Ham
# 19 · 4 pts1%Champions League
1st
1%
UCL
1%
REL
50%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
21W/ 30G
90% confidence
21W/ 30G
99% confidence
22W/ 30G
Wolves
# 20 · 2 pts61%Escape Relegation
1st
1%
UCL
1%
REL
61%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
14W/ 30G
90% confidence
14W/ 30G
99% confidence
15W/ 30G