Brasileirão Série A · 2026 · # 08
Atletico-MG
Pts
14
MP
11
W
4
GD
+1
Primary Objective
Champion
Wins needed to finish in 1st place.1%
Probability — Atletico-MG
Wins required by confidence level
75% confidence
25Wins/ 27
90% confidence
27Wins/ 27
99% confidence
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ProbFut AI Analysis
Atletico-MG lost 1-0 away at Santos this round, a result that trimmed their Libertadores direct probability from 22% to 16% and pushed their relegation risk up 3 points to 10%. At 8th on 14 points with a mixed record of 4W 2D 5L, the gap between their European ambitions and their form is growing — to crack the top 4 at 75% confidence they'd need 19 wins from 27 remaining, a tall order. They travel to Coritiba on Sunday in a mid-table battle where both sides need to start turning draws and losses into wins.
FAQ
Frequently Asked Questions
What are Atletico-MG's chances of achieving Champion?
Atletico-MG has a 1.5% probability of achieving Champion, based on Monte Carlo simulations with 20,000 iterations.
How many wins does Atletico-MG need for Champion?
Atletico-MG needs 27 wins in 27 remaining matches to achieve the objective with 90% confidence.