Brasileirão Série A · 2026 · # 19
Chapecoense-sc
Pts
8
MP
10
W
1
GD
-8
What does the team need?
Primary Objective
Escape Relegation
Wins needed to escape direct relegation.75% confidence
12Wins
90% confidence
12Wins
99% confidence
14Wins
Libertadores
Wins needed to qualify directly for the Libertadores.2%
20Wins
75% confidenceLibertadores Playoff
Wins needed to reach the Libertadores playoff spots.3%
19Wins
75% confidenceProbFut AI Analysis
Chapecoense-sc lost 2-0 away at Atletico Paranaense this round, pushing their relegation probability from 43% to 51% — now firmly in the drop zone. With only 1 win and a -8 goal difference in 10 games, the path to safety is steep: the simulations say they need 12 wins from their 28 remaining to be safe at 75% confidence. They have a game in hand over most rivals, and travel to Bahia in their postponed Round 4 fixture on Wednesday — though that's a tough away assignment against a side in strong form.
Remaining Fixtures
| RD | Opponent | W / D / L | Exp. Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 |  Botafogo (BOT) | 1.47 | |
| 13 |  Fluminense (FLU) | 0.94 | |
| 14 |  RB Bragantino (BRA) | 1.45 | |
| 15 |  Mirassol (MIR) | 1.17 | |
| 16 |  Remo (REM) | 1.54 |