Brasileirão Série A · 2026 · # 19
Chapecoense-sc
Pts
8
MP
10
W
1
GD
-8
Primary Objective
Champion
Wins needed to finish in 1st place.1%
Probability — Chapecoense-sc
Wins required by confidence level
75% confidence
26Wins/ 28
90% confidence
28Wins/ 28
99% confidence
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ProbFut AI Analysis
Chapecoense-sc lost 2-0 away at Atletico Paranaense this round, pushing their relegation probability from 43% to 51% — now firmly in the drop zone. With only 1 win and a -8 goal difference in 10 games, the path to safety is steep: the simulations say they need 12 wins from their 28 remaining to be safe at 75% confidence. They have a game in hand over most rivals, and travel to Bahia in their postponed Round 4 fixture on Wednesday — though that's a tough away assignment against a side in strong form.
FAQ
Frequently Asked Questions
What are Chapecoense-sc's chances of achieving Champion?
Chapecoense-sc has a 0.1% probability of achieving Champion, based on Monte Carlo simulations with 20,000 iterations.
How many wins does Chapecoense-sc need for Champion?
Chapecoense-sc needs 28 wins in 28 remaining matches to achieve the objective with 90% confidence.