Live projections
The Kinetic
Ledger.
Complete magic-number analysis for every team. Mathematical certainty vs. atmospheric variance.
Coventry
# 01 · 34 pts99%Promotion
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion
75% confidence
18W/ 31G
90% confidence
19W/ 31G
99% confidence
20W/ 31G
Middlesbrough
# 02 · 29 pts63%Promotion Playoff
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
16W/ 31G
90% confidence
16W/ 31G
99% confidence
17W/ 31G
Stoke City
# 03 · 27 pts49%Promotion
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion
75% confidence
20W/ 31G
90% confidence
21W/ 31G
99% confidence
22W/ 31G
Preston
# 04 · 26 pts59%Promotion Playoff
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
17W/ 31G
90% confidence
17W/ 31G
99% confidence
18W/ 31G
Hull City
# 05 · 25 pts30%Promotion Playoff
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
17W/ 31G
90% confidence
18W/ 31G
99% confidence
19W/ 31G
Millwall
# 06 · 25 pts8%Promotion Playoff
REL
1%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
17W/ 31G
90% confidence
18W/ 31G
99% confidence
19W/ 31G
Ipswich
# 07 · 24 pts60%Promotion Playoff
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
18W/ 31G
90% confidence
18W/ 31G
99% confidence
19W/ 31G
Bristol City
# 08 · 23 pts25%Promotion Playoff
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
18W/ 31G
90% confidence
18W/ 31G
99% confidence
19W/ 31G
Charlton
# 09 · 23 pts36%Promotion Playoff
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
18W/ 31G
90% confidence
18W/ 31G
99% confidence
19W/ 31G
Derby
# 10 · 23 pts15%Promotion Playoff
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
18W/ 31G
90% confidence
18W/ 31G
99% confidence
19W/ 31G
Birmingham
# 11 · 21 pts26%Promotion Playoff
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
19W/ 31G
90% confidence
19W/ 31G
99% confidence
20W/ 31G
West Brom
# 12 · 21 pts6%Promotion Playoff
REL
1%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
19W/ 31G
90% confidence
19W/ 31G
99% confidence
20W/ 31G
Leicester
# 13 · 21 pts13%Promotion Playoff
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
19W/ 31G
90% confidence
19W/ 31G
99% confidence
20W/ 31G
Wrexham
# 14 · 21 pts9%Promotion Playoff
REL
1%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
19W/ 31G
90% confidence
19W/ 31G
99% confidence
20W/ 31G
Watford
# 15 · 20 pts4%Promotion Playoff
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
19W/ 31G
90% confidence
19W/ 31G
99% confidence
20W/ 31G
QPR
# 16 · 19 pts3%Escape Relegation
REL
3%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
8W/ 31G
90% confidence
9W/ 31G
99% confidence
10W/ 31G
Southampton
# 17 · 18 pts1%Escape Relegation
REL
1%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
9W/ 31G
90% confidence
9W/ 31G
99% confidence
10W/ 31G
Blackburn
# 18 · 17 pts2%Escape Relegation
REL
2%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
9W/ 31G
90% confidence
10W/ 31G
99% confidence
11W/ 31G
Swansea
# 19 · 17 pts3%Escape Relegation
REL
3%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
9W/ 31G
90% confidence
10W/ 31G
99% confidence
11W/ 31G
Portsmouth
# 20 · 14 pts19%Escape Relegation
REL
19%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
10W/ 31G
90% confidence
11W/ 31G
99% confidence
12W/ 31G
Oxford United
# 21 · 13 pts16%Escape Relegation
REL
16%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
10W/ 31G
90% confidence
11W/ 31G
99% confidence
12W/ 31G
Sheffield Utd
# 22 · 10 pts92%Escape Relegation
REL
92%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
11W/ 31G
90% confidence
12W/ 31G
99% confidence
13W/ 31G
Norwich
# 23 · 9 pts70%Escape Relegation
REL
70%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
12W/ 31G
90% confidence
12W/ 31G
99% confidence
13W/ 31G
Sheffield Wednesday
# 24 · 8 pts93%Escape Relegation
REL
93%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
12W/ 31G
90% confidence
13W/ 31G
99% confidence
14W/ 31G