Live projections
The Kinetic
Ledger.
Complete magic-number analysis for every team. Mathematical certainty vs. atmospheric variance.
Coventry
# 01 · 43 pts99%Promotion
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion
75% confidence
14W/ 28G
90% confidence
15W/ 28G
99% confidence
16W/ 28G
Middlesbrough
# 02 · 33 pts55%Promotion Playoff
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
14W/ 28G
90% confidence
15W/ 28G
99% confidence
15W/ 28G
Millwall
# 03 · 31 pts16%Promotion Playoff
REL
1%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
15W/ 28G
90% confidence
15W/ 28G
99% confidence
16W/ 28G
Stoke City
# 04 · 30 pts47%Promotion Playoff
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
15W/ 28G
90% confidence
16W/ 28G
99% confidence
16W/ 28G
Preston
# 05 · 30 pts47%Promotion Playoff
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
15W/ 28G
90% confidence
16W/ 28G
99% confidence
16W/ 28G
Bristol City
# 06 · 29 pts44%Promotion Playoff
REL
1%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
16W/ 28G
90% confidence
16W/ 28G
99% confidence
17W/ 28G
Birmingham
# 07 · 28 pts40%Promotion Playoff
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
16W/ 28G
90% confidence
16W/ 28G
99% confidence
17W/ 28G
Hull City
# 08 · 28 pts26%Promotion Playoff
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
16W/ 28G
90% confidence
16W/ 28G
99% confidence
17W/ 28G
Ipswich
# 09 · 28 pts53%Promotion Playoff
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
16W/ 28G
90% confidence
16W/ 28G
99% confidence
17W/ 28G
Derby
# 10 · 26 pts10%Promotion Playoff
REL
1%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
17W/ 28G
90% confidence
17W/ 28G
99% confidence
18W/ 28G
Wrexham
# 11 · 26 pts21%Promotion Playoff
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
17W/ 28G
90% confidence
17W/ 28G
99% confidence
18W/ 28G
West Brom
# 12 · 25 pts7%Promotion Playoff
REL
1%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
17W/ 28G
90% confidence
17W/ 28G
99% confidence
18W/ 28G
QPR
# 13 · 25 pts1%Promotion Playoff
REL
3%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
17W/ 28G
90% confidence
17W/ 28G
99% confidence
18W/ 28G
Southampton
# 14 · 24 pts16%Promotion Playoff
REL
1%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
17W/ 28G
90% confidence
18W/ 28G
99% confidence
18W/ 28G
Watford
# 15 · 24 pts10%Promotion Playoff
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
17W/ 28G
90% confidence
18W/ 28G
99% confidence
18W/ 28G
Leicester
# 16 · 24 pts6%Promotion Playoff
REL
1%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
17W/ 28G
90% confidence
18W/ 28G
99% confidence
18W/ 28G
Charlton
# 17 · 23 pts2%Escape Relegation
REL
2%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
8W/ 28G
90% confidence
9W/ 28G
99% confidence
9W/ 28G
Blackburn
# 18 · 21 pts3%Escape Relegation
REL
3%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
9W/ 28G
90% confidence
9W/ 28G
99% confidence
10W/ 28G
Sheffield Utd
# 19 · 19 pts30%Escape Relegation
REL
30%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
9W/ 28G
90% confidence
10W/ 28G
99% confidence
11W/ 28G
Oxford United
# 20 · 18 pts12%Escape Relegation
REL
12%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
10W/ 28G
90% confidence
10W/ 28G
99% confidence
11W/ 28G
Swansea
# 21 · 17 pts40%Escape Relegation
REL
40%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
10W/ 28G
90% confidence
11W/ 28G
99% confidence
11W/ 28G
Portsmouth
# 22 · 17 pts43%Escape Relegation
REL
43%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
10W/ 28G
90% confidence
11W/ 28G
99% confidence
11W/ 28G
Norwich
# 23 · 13 pts68%Escape Relegation
REL
68%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
11W/ 28G
90% confidence
12W/ 28G
99% confidence
13W/ 28G
Sheffield Wednesday
# 24 · 8 pts99%Escape Relegation
REL
✓
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
13W/ 28G
90% confidence
14W/ 28G
99% confidence
14W/ 28G