Live projections
The Kinetic
Ledger.
Complete magic-number analysis for every team. Mathematical certainty vs. atmospheric variance.
Stoke City
# 01 · 6 pts28%Promotion Playoff
REL
5%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
23W/ 44G
90% confidence
24W/ 44G
99% confidence
25W/ 44G
Middlesbrough
# 02 · 6 pts26%Promotion Playoff
REL
4%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
23W/ 44G
90% confidence
24W/ 44G
99% confidence
25W/ 44G
West Brom
# 03 · 6 pts23%Promotion Playoff
REL
6%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
23W/ 44G
90% confidence
24W/ 44G
99% confidence
25W/ 44G
Bristol City
# 04 · 4 pts23%Promotion Playoff
REL
8%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
24W/ 44G
90% confidence
25W/ 44G
99% confidence
26W/ 44G
Coventry
# 05 · 4 pts22%Promotion Playoff
REL
7%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
24W/ 44G
90% confidence
25W/ 44G
99% confidence
26W/ 44G
Birmingham
# 06 · 4 pts21%Promotion Playoff
REL
7%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
24W/ 44G
90% confidence
25W/ 44G
99% confidence
26W/ 44G
Hull City
# 07 · 4 pts19%Promotion Playoff
REL
9%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
24W/ 44G
90% confidence
25W/ 44G
99% confidence
26W/ 44G
Southampton
# 08 · 4 pts21%Promotion Playoff
REL
9%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
24W/ 44G
90% confidence
25W/ 44G
99% confidence
26W/ 44G
Preston
# 09 · 4 pts17%Promotion Playoff
REL
9%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
24W/ 44G
90% confidence
25W/ 44G
99% confidence
26W/ 44G
Charlton
# 10 · 4 pts21%Promotion Playoff
REL
9%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
24W/ 44G
90% confidence
25W/ 44G
99% confidence
26W/ 44G
Norwich
# 11 · 3 pts18%Promotion Playoff
REL
11%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
24W/ 44G
90% confidence
25W/ 44G
99% confidence
26W/ 44G
Leicester
# 12 · 3 pts15%Promotion Playoff
REL
11%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
24W/ 44G
90% confidence
25W/ 44G
99% confidence
26W/ 44G
Portsmouth
# 13 · 3 pts14%Promotion Playoff
REL
11%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
24W/ 44G
90% confidence
25W/ 44G
99% confidence
26W/ 44G
Watford
# 14 · 3 pts16%Promotion Playoff
REL
13%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
24W/ 44G
90% confidence
25W/ 44G
99% confidence
26W/ 44G
Swansea
# 15 · 3 pts15%Promotion Playoff
REL
12%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
24W/ 44G
90% confidence
25W/ 44G
99% confidence
26W/ 44G
Millwall
# 16 · 3 pts16%Promotion Playoff
REL
13%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
24W/ 44G
90% confidence
25W/ 44G
99% confidence
26W/ 44G
Ipswich
# 17 · 2 pts14%Promotion Playoff
REL
13%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
25W/ 44G
90% confidence
25W/ 44G
99% confidence
26W/ 44G
QPR
# 18 · 1 pts13%Promotion Playoff
REL
15%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
25W/ 44G
90% confidence
26W/ 44G
99% confidence
27W/ 44G
Wrexham
# 19 · 0 pts12%Promotion Playoff
REL
21%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
25W/ 44G
90% confidence
26W/ 44G
99% confidence
27W/ 44G
Oxford United
# 20 · 0 pts10%Promotion Playoff
REL
20%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
25W/ 44G
90% confidence
26W/ 44G
99% confidence
27W/ 44G
Blackburn
# 21 · 0 pts10%Promotion Playoff
REL
19%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
25W/ 44G
90% confidence
26W/ 44G
99% confidence
27W/ 44G
Derby
# 22 · 0 pts10%Promotion Playoff
REL
24%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
25W/ 44G
90% confidence
26W/ 44G
99% confidence
27W/ 44G
Sheffield Utd
# 23 · 0 pts9%Promotion Playoff
REL
25%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
25W/ 44G
90% confidence
26W/ 44G
99% confidence
27W/ 44G
Sheffield Wednesday
# 24 · 0 pts8%Promotion Playoff
REL
22%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
25W/ 44G
90% confidence
26W/ 44G
99% confidence
27W/ 44G