Live projections
The Kinetic
Ledger.
Complete magic-number analysis for every team. Mathematical certainty vs. atmospheric variance.
Coventry
# 01 · 48 pts99%Promotion
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion
75% confidence
12W/ 24G
90% confidence
13W/ 24G
99% confidence
14W/ 24G
Middlesbrough
# 02 · 42 pts61%Promotion Playoff
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
11W/ 24G
90% confidence
11W/ 24G
99% confidence
12W/ 24G
Hull City
# 03 · 37 pts56%Promotion Playoff
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
12W/ 24G
90% confidence
13W/ 24G
99% confidence
14W/ 24G
Ipswich
# 04 · 37 pts51%Promotion
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion
75% confidence
16W/ 24G
90% confidence
16W/ 24G
99% confidence
18W/ 24G
Preston
# 05 · 36 pts49%Promotion Playoff
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
13W/ 24G
90% confidence
13W/ 24G
99% confidence
14W/ 24G
Millwall
# 06 · 35 pts14%Promotion Playoff
REL
1%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
13W/ 24G
90% confidence
14W/ 24G
99% confidence
14W/ 24G
QPR
# 07 · 34 pts15%Promotion Playoff
REL
1%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
13W/ 24G
90% confidence
14W/ 24G
99% confidence
15W/ 24G
Stoke City
# 08 · 33 pts30%Promotion Playoff
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
14W/ 24G
90% confidence
14W/ 24G
99% confidence
15W/ 24G
Bristol City
# 09 · 33 pts31%Promotion Playoff
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
14W/ 24G
90% confidence
14W/ 24G
99% confidence
15W/ 24G
Watford
# 10 · 32 pts22%Promotion Playoff
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
14W/ 24G
90% confidence
15W/ 24G
99% confidence
15W/ 24G
Southampton
# 11 · 31 pts21%Promotion Playoff
REL
1%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
14W/ 24G
90% confidence
15W/ 24G
99% confidence
16W/ 24G
Derby
# 12 · 31 pts19%Promotion Playoff
REL
1%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
14W/ 24G
90% confidence
15W/ 24G
99% confidence
16W/ 24G
Leicester
# 13 · 31 pts9%Promotion Playoff
REL
1%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
14W/ 24G
90% confidence
15W/ 24G
99% confidence
16W/ 24G
Birmingham
# 14 · 29 pts13%Promotion Playoff
REL
1%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
15W/ 24G
90% confidence
16W/ 24G
99% confidence
16W/ 24G
Blackburn
# 15 · 28 pts5%Promotion Playoff
REL
1%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
15W/ 24G
90% confidence
16W/ 24G
99% confidence
17W/ 24G
West Brom
# 16 · 28 pts3%Promotion Playoff
REL
2%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
15W/ 24G
90% confidence
16W/ 24G
99% confidence
17W/ 24G
Wrexham
# 17 · 28 pts6%Promotion Playoff
REL
1%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
15W/ 24G
90% confidence
16W/ 24G
99% confidence
17W/ 24G
Charlton
# 18 · 27 pts8%Escape Relegation
REL
8%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
8W/ 24G
90% confidence
8W/ 24G
99% confidence
9W/ 24G
Sheffield Utd
# 19 · 26 pts2%Promotion Playoff
REL
3%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
16W/ 24G
90% confidence
17W/ 24G
99% confidence
17W/ 24G
Swansea
# 20 · 26 pts17%Escape Relegation
REL
17%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
8W/ 24G
90% confidence
8W/ 24G
99% confidence
10W/ 24G
Portsmouth
# 21 · 24 pts21%Escape Relegation
REL
21%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
9W/ 24G
90% confidence
9W/ 24G
99% confidence
10W/ 24G
Oxford United
# 22 · 19 pts62%Escape Relegation
REL
62%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
10W/ 24G
90% confidence
11W/ 24G
99% confidence
12W/ 24G
Norwich
# 23 · 18 pts84%Escape Relegation
REL
84%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
11W/ 24G
90% confidence
11W/ 24G
99% confidence
12W/ 24G
Sheffield Wednesday
# 24 · 9 pts99%Escape Relegation
REL
✓
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
14W/ 24G
90% confidence
14W/ 24G
99% confidence
15W/ 24G