Live projections
The Kinetic
Ledger.
Complete magic-number analysis for every team. Mathematical certainty vs. atmospheric variance.
Coventry
# 01 · 51 pts99%Promotion
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion
75% confidence
11W/ 23G
90% confidence
11W/ 23G
99% confidence
13W/ 23G
Middlesbrough
# 02 · 43 pts56%Promotion Playoff
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
10W/ 23G
90% confidence
11W/ 23G
99% confidence
11W/ 23G
Hull City
# 03 · 38 pts49%Promotion Playoff
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
12W/ 23G
90% confidence
12W/ 23G
99% confidence
13W/ 23G
Ipswich
# 04 · 38 pts47%Promotion
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion
75% confidence
15W/ 23G
90% confidence
16W/ 23G
99% confidence
17W/ 23G
Preston
# 05 · 37 pts45%Promotion Playoff
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
12W/ 23G
90% confidence
13W/ 23G
99% confidence
13W/ 23G
Bristol City
# 06 · 36 pts30%Promotion Playoff
REL
1%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
13W/ 23G
90% confidence
13W/ 23G
99% confidence
14W/ 23G
Millwall
# 07 · 36 pts14%Promotion Playoff
REL
1%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
13W/ 23G
90% confidence
13W/ 23G
99% confidence
14W/ 23G
QPR
# 08 · 35 pts29%Promotion Playoff
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
13W/ 23G
90% confidence
13W/ 23G
99% confidence
14W/ 23G
Watford
# 09 · 35 pts43%Promotion Playoff
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
13W/ 23G
90% confidence
13W/ 23G
99% confidence
14W/ 23G
Stoke City
# 10 · 34 pts17%Promotion Playoff
REL
1%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
13W/ 23G
90% confidence
14W/ 23G
99% confidence
14W/ 23G
Derby
# 11 · 32 pts26%Promotion Playoff
REL
1%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
14W/ 23G
90% confidence
14W/ 23G
99% confidence
15W/ 23G
Southampton
# 12 · 31 pts12%Promotion Playoff
REL
1%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
14W/ 23G
90% confidence
15W/ 23G
99% confidence
15W/ 23G
Leicester
# 13 · 31 pts4%Promotion Playoff
REL
3%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
14W/ 23G
90% confidence
15W/ 23G
99% confidence
15W/ 23G
Wrexham
# 14 · 31 pts14%Promotion Playoff
REL
1%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
14W/ 23G
90% confidence
15W/ 23G
99% confidence
15W/ 23G
Birmingham
# 15 · 30 pts9%Promotion Playoff
REL
1%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
15W/ 23G
90% confidence
15W/ 23G
99% confidence
16W/ 23G
Blackburn
# 16 · 29 pts4%Promotion Playoff
REL
2%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
15W/ 23G
90% confidence
15W/ 23G
99% confidence
16W/ 23G
West Brom
# 17 · 28 pts7%Escape Relegation
REL
7%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
7W/ 23G
90% confidence
8W/ 23G
99% confidence
9W/ 23G
Charlton
# 18 · 27 pts17%Escape Relegation
REL
17%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
8W/ 23G
90% confidence
8W/ 23G
99% confidence
9W/ 23G
Sheffield Utd
# 19 · 26 pts2%Promotion Playoff
REL
4%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
16W/ 23G
90% confidence
16W/ 23G
99% confidence
17W/ 23G
Swansea
# 20 · 26 pts21%Escape Relegation
REL
21%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
8W/ 23G
90% confidence
9W/ 23G
99% confidence
9W/ 23G
Portsmouth
# 21 · 25 pts32%Escape Relegation
REL
32%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
8W/ 23G
90% confidence
9W/ 23G
99% confidence
10W/ 23G
Oxford United
# 22 · 22 pts39%Escape Relegation
REL
39%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
9W/ 23G
90% confidence
10W/ 23G
99% confidence
11W/ 23G
Norwich
# 23 · 21 pts74%Escape Relegation
REL
74%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
10W/ 23G
90% confidence
10W/ 23G
99% confidence
11W/ 23G
Sheffield Wednesday
# 24 · 10 pts99%Escape Relegation
REL
✓
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
13W/ 23G
90% confidence
14W/ 23G
99% confidence
15W/ 23G