Live projections
The Kinetic
Ledger.
Complete magic-number analysis for every team. Mathematical certainty vs. atmospheric variance.
Coventry
# 01 · 51 pts98%Promotion
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion
75% confidence
11W/ 22G
90% confidence
12W/ 22G
99% confidence
13W/ 22G
Middlesbrough
# 02 · 43 pts60%Promotion Playoff
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
10W/ 22G
90% confidence
11W/ 22G
99% confidence
11W/ 22G
Hull City
# 03 · 41 pts66%Promotion Playoff
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
11W/ 22G
90% confidence
11W/ 22G
99% confidence
12W/ 22G
Ipswich
# 04 · 41 pts72%Promotion
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion
75% confidence
14W/ 22G
90% confidence
15W/ 22G
99% confidence
16W/ 22G
Millwall
# 05 · 39 pts21%Promotion Playoff
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
12W/ 22G
90% confidence
12W/ 22G
99% confidence
13W/ 22G
Watford
# 06 · 38 pts52%Promotion Playoff
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
12W/ 22G
90% confidence
12W/ 22G
99% confidence
13W/ 22G
Preston
# 07 · 37 pts43%Promotion Playoff
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
12W/ 22G
90% confidence
13W/ 22G
99% confidence
13W/ 22G
Bristol City
# 08 · 36 pts21%Promotion Playoff
REL
1%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
13W/ 22G
90% confidence
13W/ 22G
99% confidence
14W/ 22G
QPR
# 09 · 35 pts18%Promotion Playoff
REL
1%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
13W/ 22G
90% confidence
13W/ 22G
99% confidence
14W/ 22G
Stoke City
# 10 · 34 pts10%Promotion Playoff
REL
1%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
13W/ 22G
90% confidence
14W/ 22G
99% confidence
14W/ 22G
Leicester
# 11 · 34 pts4%Promotion Playoff
REL
1%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
13W/ 22G
90% confidence
14W/ 22G
99% confidence
14W/ 22G
Wrexham
# 12 · 34 pts29%Promotion Playoff
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
13W/ 22G
90% confidence
14W/ 22G
99% confidence
14W/ 22G
Southampton
# 13 · 32 pts17%Promotion Playoff
REL
1%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
14W/ 22G
90% confidence
14W/ 22G
99% confidence
15W/ 22G
Derby
# 14 · 32 pts16%Promotion Playoff
REL
1%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
14W/ 22G
90% confidence
14W/ 22G
99% confidence
15W/ 22G
West Brom
# 15 · 31 pts1%Promotion Playoff
REL
4%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
14W/ 22G
90% confidence
15W/ 22G
99% confidence
15W/ 22G
Birmingham
# 16 · 31 pts4%Promotion Playoff
REL
1%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
14W/ 22G
90% confidence
15W/ 22G
99% confidence
15W/ 22G
Blackburn
# 17 · 30 pts4%Escape Relegation
REL
4%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
7W/ 22G
90% confidence
7W/ 22G
99% confidence
8W/ 22G
Sheffield Utd
# 18 · 29 pts8%Promotion Playoff
REL
1%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
15W/ 22G
90% confidence
15W/ 22G
99% confidence
16W/ 22G
Swansea
# 19 · 29 pts13%Escape Relegation
REL
13%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
7W/ 22G
90% confidence
8W/ 22G
99% confidence
8W/ 22G
Portsmouth
# 20 · 28 pts13%Escape Relegation
REL
13%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
7W/ 22G
90% confidence
8W/ 22G
99% confidence
9W/ 22G
Charlton
# 21 · 27 pts28%Escape Relegation
REL
28%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
8W/ 22G
90% confidence
8W/ 22G
99% confidence
9W/ 22G
Oxford United
# 22 · 22 pts52%Escape Relegation
REL
52%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
9W/ 22G
90% confidence
10W/ 22G
99% confidence
11W/ 22G
Norwich
# 23 · 21 pts82%Escape Relegation
REL
82%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
10W/ 22G
90% confidence
10W/ 22G
99% confidence
11W/ 22G
Sheffield Wednesday
# 24 · 11 pts99%Escape Relegation
REL
✓
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
13W/ 22G
90% confidence
14W/ 22G
99% confidence
14W/ 22G