Live projections
The Kinetic
Ledger.
Complete magic-number analysis for every team. Mathematical certainty vs. atmospheric variance.
Coventry
# 01 · 58 pts90%Promotion
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion
75% confidence
9W/ 18G
90% confidence
10W/ 18G
99% confidence
11W/ 18G
Middlesbrough
# 02 · 52 pts68%Promotion Playoff
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
8W/ 18G
90% confidence
8W/ 18G
99% confidence
9W/ 18G
Ipswich
# 03 · 50 pts67%Promotion
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion
75% confidence
12W/ 19G
90% confidence
13W/ 19G
99% confidence
14W/ 19G
Hull City
# 04 · 48 pts73%Promotion Playoff
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
9W/ 18G
90% confidence
10W/ 18G
99% confidence
10W/ 18G
Millwall
# 05 · 46 pts56%Promotion Playoff
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
10W/ 18G
90% confidence
10W/ 18G
99% confidence
11W/ 18G
Preston
# 06 · 43 pts33%Promotion Playoff
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
11W/ 18G
90% confidence
11W/ 18G
99% confidence
12W/ 18G
Watford
# 07 · 43 pts36%Promotion Playoff
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
11W/ 18G
90% confidence
11W/ 18G
99% confidence
12W/ 18G
Stoke City
# 08 · 41 pts22%Promotion Playoff
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
12W/ 18G
90% confidence
12W/ 18G
99% confidence
12W/ 18G
Derby
# 09 · 41 pts26%Promotion Playoff
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
12W/ 18G
90% confidence
12W/ 18G
99% confidence
12W/ 18G
Wrexham
# 10 · 41 pts12%Promotion Playoff
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
12W/ 18G
90% confidence
12W/ 18G
99% confidence
12W/ 18G
Bristol City
# 11 · 40 pts7%Promotion Playoff
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
12W/ 18G
90% confidence
12W/ 18G
99% confidence
13W/ 18G
QPR
# 12 · 40 pts4%Promotion Playoff
REL
1%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
12W/ 18G
90% confidence
12W/ 18G
99% confidence
13W/ 18G
Birmingham
# 13 · 38 pts10%Promotion Playoff
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
13W/ 18G
90% confidence
13W/ 18G
99% confidence
13W/ 18G
Leicester
# 14 · 38 pts1%Promotion Playoff
REL
1%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
13W/ 18G
90% confidence
13W/ 18G
99% confidence
13W/ 18G
Swansea
# 15 · 36 pts2%Escape Relegation
REL
2%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
4W/ 18G
90% confidence
5W/ 18G
99% confidence
6W/ 18G
Southampton
# 16 · 36 pts2%Promotion Playoff
REL
1%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
13W/ 18G
90% confidence
14W/ 18G
99% confidence
14W/ 18G
Sheffield Utd
# 17 · 35 pts7%Promotion Playoff
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
14W/ 18G
90% confidence
14W/ 18G
99% confidence
14W/ 18G
Charlton
# 18 · 32 pts29%Escape Relegation
REL
29%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
6W/ 18G
90% confidence
6W/ 18G
99% confidence
7W/ 18G
Portsmouth
# 19 · 32 pts11%Escape Relegation
REL
11%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
6W/ 19G
90% confidence
6W/ 19G
99% confidence
7W/ 19G
West Brom
# 20 · 31 pts42%Escape Relegation
REL
42%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
6W/ 18G
90% confidence
7W/ 18G
99% confidence
8W/ 18G
Blackburn
# 21 · 31 pts22%Escape Relegation
REL
22%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
6W/ 18G
90% confidence
7W/ 18G
99% confidence
8W/ 18G
Norwich
# 22 · 30 pts14%Escape Relegation
REL
14%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
6W/ 18G
90% confidence
7W/ 18G
99% confidence
8W/ 18G
Oxford United
# 23 · 24 pts80%Escape Relegation
REL
80%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
8W/ 18G
90% confidence
9W/ 18G
99% confidence
10W/ 18G
Sheffield Wednesday
# 24 · 11 pts99%Escape Relegation
REL
✓
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
13W/ 18G
90% confidence
13W/ 18G
99% confidence
14W/ 18G