Live projections
The Kinetic
Ledger.
Complete magic-number analysis for every team. Mathematical certainty vs. atmospheric variance.
Coventry
# 01 · 58 pts68%Promotion
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion
75% confidence
10W/ 17G
90% confidence
10W/ 17G
99% confidence
11W/ 17G
Middlesbrough
# 02 · 55 pts56%Promotion
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion
75% confidence
11W/ 17G
90% confidence
11W/ 17G
99% confidence
12W/ 17G
Hull City
# 03 · 51 pts71%Promotion Playoff
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
8W/ 17G
90% confidence
9W/ 17G
99% confidence
9W/ 17G
Ipswich
# 04 · 50 pts50%Promotion
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion
75% confidence
12W/ 18G
90% confidence
13W/ 18G
99% confidence
14W/ 18G
Millwall
# 05 · 49 pts64%Promotion Playoff
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
9W/ 17G
90% confidence
9W/ 17G
99% confidence
10W/ 17G
Wrexham
# 06 · 44 pts25%Promotion Playoff
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
11W/ 17G
90% confidence
11W/ 17G
99% confidence
12W/ 17G
Watford
# 07 · 44 pts33%Promotion Playoff
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
11W/ 17G
90% confidence
11W/ 17G
99% confidence
12W/ 17G
Bristol City
# 08 · 43 pts9%Promotion Playoff
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
11W/ 17G
90% confidence
11W/ 17G
99% confidence
12W/ 17G
Preston
# 09 · 43 pts8%Promotion Playoff
REL
1%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
11W/ 17G
90% confidence
11W/ 17G
99% confidence
12W/ 17G
Stoke City
# 10 · 42 pts21%Promotion Playoff
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
11W/ 17G
90% confidence
12W/ 17G
99% confidence
12W/ 17G
Derby
# 11 · 42 pts21%Promotion Playoff
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
11W/ 17G
90% confidence
12W/ 17G
99% confidence
12W/ 17G
QPR
# 12 · 40 pts2%Promotion Playoff
REL
1%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
12W/ 17G
90% confidence
12W/ 17G
99% confidence
13W/ 17G
Birmingham
# 13 · 39 pts6%Promotion Playoff
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
12W/ 17G
90% confidence
13W/ 17G
99% confidence
13W/ 17G
Sheffield Utd
# 14 · 38 pts15%Promotion Playoff
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
13W/ 17G
90% confidence
13W/ 17G
99% confidence
14W/ 17G
Leicester
# 15 · 38 pts2%Escape Relegation
REL
2%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
4W/ 17G
90% confidence
5W/ 17G
99% confidence
5W/ 17G
Southampton
# 16 · 37 pts2%Promotion Playoff
REL
1%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
13W/ 17G
90% confidence
13W/ 17G
99% confidence
14W/ 17G
Swansea
# 17 · 36 pts3%Escape Relegation
REL
3%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
5W/ 17G
90% confidence
5W/ 17G
99% confidence
6W/ 17G
Norwich
# 18 · 33 pts5%Escape Relegation
REL
5%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
6W/ 17G
90% confidence
6W/ 17G
99% confidence
7W/ 17G
Portsmouth
# 19 · 33 pts17%Escape Relegation
REL
17%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
6W/ 18G
90% confidence
6W/ 18G
99% confidence
7W/ 18G
West Brom
# 20 · 32 pts34%Escape Relegation
REL
34%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
6W/ 17G
90% confidence
7W/ 17G
99% confidence
7W/ 17G
Blackburn
# 21 · 32 pts27%Escape Relegation
REL
27%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
6W/ 17G
90% confidence
7W/ 17G
99% confidence
7W/ 17G
Charlton
# 22 · 32 pts45%Escape Relegation
REL
45%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
6W/ 17G
90% confidence
7W/ 17G
99% confidence
7W/ 17G
Oxford United
# 23 · 27 pts68%Escape Relegation
REL
68%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
8W/ 17G
90% confidence
8W/ 17G
99% confidence
9W/ 17G
Sheffield Wednesday
# 24 · 11 pts99%Escape Relegation
REL
✓
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
13W/ 17G
90% confidence
14W/ 17G
99% confidence
14W/ 17G