Live projections
The Kinetic
Ledger.
Complete magic-number analysis for every team. Mathematical certainty vs. atmospheric variance.
Coventry
# 01 · 62 pts63%Promotion Playoff
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
5W/ 14G
90% confidence
5W/ 14G
99% confidence
6W/ 14G
Middlesbrough
# 02 · 61 pts76%Promotion
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion
75% confidence
9W/ 14G
90% confidence
9W/ 14G
99% confidence
10W/ 14G
Ipswich
# 03 · 57 pts77%Promotion
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion
75% confidence
10W/ 15G
90% confidence
10W/ 15G
99% confidence
12W/ 15G
Millwall
# 04 · 56 pts75%Promotion Playoff
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
7W/ 14G
90% confidence
7W/ 14G
99% confidence
8W/ 14G
Hull City
# 05 · 54 pts75%Promotion Playoff
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
7W/ 14G
90% confidence
8W/ 14G
99% confidence
8W/ 14G
Derby
# 06 · 48 pts57%Promotion Playoff
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
9W/ 14G
90% confidence
10W/ 14G
99% confidence
10W/ 14G
Wrexham
# 07 · 48 pts18%Promotion Playoff
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
9W/ 14G
90% confidence
10W/ 14G
99% confidence
10W/ 14G
Preston
# 08 · 48 pts10%Promotion Playoff
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
9W/ 14G
90% confidence
10W/ 14G
99% confidence
10W/ 14G
Bristol City
# 09 · 47 pts2%Promotion Playoff
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
10W/ 14G
90% confidence
10W/ 14G
99% confidence
11W/ 14G
Southampton
# 10 · 46 pts24%Promotion Playoff
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
10W/ 14G
90% confidence
10W/ 14G
99% confidence
11W/ 14G
Birmingham
# 11 · 46 pts5%Promotion Playoff
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
10W/ 14G
90% confidence
10W/ 14G
99% confidence
11W/ 14G
Watford
# 12 · 45 pts10%Promotion Playoff
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
10W/ 14G
90% confidence
11W/ 14G
99% confidence
11W/ 14G
QPR
# 13 · 44 pts1%Promotion Playoff
REL
1%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
11W/ 14G
90% confidence
11W/ 14G
99% confidence
12W/ 14G
Stoke City
# 14 · 43 pts2%Promotion Playoff
REL
1%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
11W/ 14G
90% confidence
11W/ 14G
99% confidence
12W/ 14G
Sheffield Utd
# 15 · 42 pts10%Promotion Playoff
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
11W/ 14G
90% confidence
12W/ 14G
99% confidence
12W/ 14G
Swansea
# 16 · 42 pts1%Promotion Playoff
REL
1%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
11W/ 14G
90% confidence
12W/ 14G
99% confidence
12W/ 14G
Norwich
# 17 · 39 pts1%Promotion Playoff
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
12W/ 14G
90% confidence
13W/ 14G
99% confidence
13W/ 14G
Charlton
# 18 · 39 pts19%Escape Relegation
REL
19%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
4W/ 14G
90% confidence
4W/ 14G
99% confidence
5W/ 14G
Leicester
# 19 · 38 pts8%Escape Relegation
REL
8%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
4W/ 14G
90% confidence
5W/ 14G
99% confidence
5W/ 14G
Portsmouth
# 20 · 36 pts21%Escape Relegation
REL
21%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
5W/ 15G
90% confidence
5W/ 15G
99% confidence
6W/ 15G
Blackburn
# 21 · 35 pts16%Escape Relegation
REL
16%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
5W/ 14G
90% confidence
6W/ 14G
99% confidence
6W/ 14G
West Brom
# 22 · 34 pts44%Escape Relegation
REL
44%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
5W/ 14G
90% confidence
6W/ 14G
99% confidence
7W/ 14G
Oxford United
# 23 · 28 pts93%Escape Relegation
REL
93%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
7W/ 14G
90% confidence
8W/ 14G
99% confidence
9W/ 14G
Sheffield Wednesday
# 24 · 11 pts99%Escape Relegation
REL
✓
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
13W/ 14G
90% confidence
14W/ 14G
99% confidence
14W/ 14G