Live projections
The Kinetic
Ledger.
Complete magic-number analysis for every team. Mathematical certainty vs. atmospheric variance.
Coventry
# 01 · 68 pts88%Promotion
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion
75% confidence
6W/ 12G
90% confidence
7W/ 12G
99% confidence
8W/ 12G
Middlesbrough
# 02 · 63 pts66%Promotion Playoff
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
4W/ 12G
90% confidence
4W/ 12G
99% confidence
5W/ 12G
Ipswich
# 03 · 60 pts72%Promotion
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion
75% confidence
9W/ 13G
90% confidence
9W/ 13G
99% confidence
10W/ 13G
Millwall
# 04 · 59 pts78%Promotion Playoff
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
5W/ 12G
90% confidence
6W/ 12G
99% confidence
6W/ 12G
Hull City
# 05 · 57 pts84%Promotion Playoff
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
6W/ 12G
90% confidence
6W/ 12G
99% confidence
7W/ 12G
Wrexham
# 06 · 54 pts42%Promotion Playoff
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
7W/ 12G
90% confidence
7W/ 12G
99% confidence
8W/ 12G
Bristol City
# 07 · 50 pts5%Promotion Playoff
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
8W/ 12G
90% confidence
9W/ 12G
99% confidence
9W/ 12G
Southampton
# 08 · 50 pts42%Promotion Playoff
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
8W/ 12G
90% confidence
9W/ 12G
99% confidence
9W/ 12G
Birmingham
# 09 · 49 pts13%Promotion Playoff
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
9W/ 12G
90% confidence
9W/ 12G
99% confidence
10W/ 12G
Preston
# 10 · 49 pts3%Promotion Playoff
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
9W/ 12G
90% confidence
9W/ 12G
99% confidence
10W/ 12G
Derby
# 11 · 48 pts7%Promotion Playoff
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
9W/ 12G
90% confidence
9W/ 12G
99% confidence
10W/ 12G
Watford
# 12 · 48 pts10%Promotion Playoff
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
9W/ 12G
90% confidence
9W/ 12G
99% confidence
10W/ 12G
Stoke City
# 13 · 47 pts2%Promotion Playoff
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
9W/ 12G
90% confidence
10W/ 12G
99% confidence
10W/ 12G
QPR
# 14 · 47 pts1%Promotion Playoff
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
9W/ 12G
90% confidence
10W/ 12G
99% confidence
10W/ 12G
Swansea
# 15 · 46 pts1%Promotion Playoff
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
10W/ 12G
90% confidence
10W/ 12G
99% confidence
11W/ 12G
Sheffield Utd
# 16 · 45 pts6%Promotion Playoff
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
10W/ 12G
90% confidence
10W/ 12G
99% confidence
11W/ 12G
Norwich
# 17 · 42 pts1%Promotion Playoff
REL
1%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
11W/ 12G
90% confidence
11W/ 12G
99% confidence
12W/ 12G
Charlton
# 18 · 41 pts9%Escape Relegation
REL
9%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
3W/ 12G
90% confidence
3W/ 12G
99% confidence
4W/ 12G
Leicester
# 19 · 40 pts3%Escape Relegation
REL
3%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
3W/ 12G
90% confidence
4W/ 12G
99% confidence
4W/ 12G
Portsmouth
# 20 · 39 pts2%Escape Relegation
REL
2%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
3W/ 13G
90% confidence
4W/ 13G
99% confidence
5W/ 13G
Blackburn
# 21 · 38 pts13%Escape Relegation
REL
13%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
4W/ 12G
90% confidence
4W/ 12G
99% confidence
5W/ 12G
West Brom
# 22 · 35 pts78%Escape Relegation
REL
78%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
5W/ 12G
90% confidence
5W/ 12G
99% confidence
6W/ 12G
Oxford United
# 23 · 29 pts96%Escape Relegation
REL
96%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
7W/ 12G
90% confidence
7W/ 12G
99% confidence
8W/ 12G
Sheffield Wednesday
# 24 · 11 pts99%Escape Relegation
REL
✓
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
13W/ 12G
90% confidence
13W/ 12G
99% confidence
14W/ 12G