Live projections
The Kinetic
Ledger.
Complete magic-number analysis for every team. Mathematical certainty vs. atmospheric variance.
Coventry
# 01 · 74 pts90%Promotion
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion
75% confidence
5W/ 10G
90% confidence
5W/ 10G
99% confidence
6W/ 10G
Middlesbrough
# 02 · 69 pts53%Promotion
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion
75% confidence
6W/ 10G
90% confidence
7W/ 10G
99% confidence
8W/ 10G
Millwall
# 03 · 65 pts81%Promotion Playoff
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
4W/ 10G
90% confidence
4W/ 10G
99% confidence
5W/ 10G
Ipswich
# 04 · 64 pts62%Promotion Playoff
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
4W/ 11G
90% confidence
4W/ 11G
99% confidence
5W/ 11G
Hull City
# 05 · 60 pts86%Promotion Playoff
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
5W/ 10G
90% confidence
6W/ 10G
99% confidence
7W/ 10G
Wrexham
# 06 · 57 pts28%Promotion Playoff
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
6W/ 10G
90% confidence
7W/ 10G
99% confidence
8W/ 10G
Southampton
# 07 · 56 pts44%Promotion Playoff
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
7W/ 10G
90% confidence
7W/ 10G
99% confidence
8W/ 10G
Derby
# 08 · 54 pts12%Promotion Playoff
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
7W/ 10G
90% confidence
8W/ 10G
99% confidence
9W/ 10G
Watford
# 09 · 54 pts22%Promotion Playoff
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
7W/ 10G
90% confidence
8W/ 10G
99% confidence
9W/ 10G
Bristol City
# 10 · 50 pts1%Promotion Playoff
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
9W/ 10G
90% confidence
9W/ 10G
99% confidence
10W/ 10G
Sheffield Utd
# 11 · 49 pts7%Promotion Playoff
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
9W/ 10G
90% confidence
9W/ 10G
99% confidence
10W/ 10G
Swansea
# 12 · 49 pts1%Promotion Playoff
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
9W/ 10G
90% confidence
9W/ 10G
99% confidence
10W/ 10G
Birmingham
# 13 · 49 pts1%Promotion Playoff
REL
1%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
9W/ 10G
90% confidence
9W/ 10G
99% confidence
10W/ 10G
Preston
# 14 · 49 pts0%Promotion
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion
75% confidence
13W/ 10G
90% confidence
13W/ 10G
99% confidence
14W/ 10G
Stoke City
# 15 · 47 pts1%Escape Relegation
REL
1%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
1W/ 10G
90% confidence
1W/ 10G
99% confidence
2W/ 10G
QPR
# 16 · 47 pts1%Escape Relegation
REL
1%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
1W/ 10G
90% confidence
1W/ 10G
99% confidence
2W/ 10G
Norwich
# 17 · 45 pts1%Promotion Playoff
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
10W/ 10G
90% confidence
11W/ 10G
99% confidence
12W/ 10G
Charlton
# 18 · 44 pts4%Escape Relegation
REL
4%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
2W/ 10G
90% confidence
2W/ 10G
99% confidence
3W/ 10G
Leicester
# 19 · 41 pts5%Escape Relegation
REL
5%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
3W/ 10G
90% confidence
3W/ 10G
99% confidence
4W/ 10G
Portsmouth
# 20 · 40 pts3%Escape Relegation
REL
3%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
3W/ 11G
90% confidence
4W/ 11G
99% confidence
4W/ 11G
Blackburn
# 21 · 39 pts28%Escape Relegation
REL
28%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
4W/ 10G
90% confidence
4W/ 10G
99% confidence
5W/ 10G
West Brom
# 22 · 36 pts83%Escape Relegation
REL
83%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
5W/ 10G
90% confidence
5W/ 10G
99% confidence
6W/ 10G
Oxford United
# 23 · 35 pts76%Escape Relegation
REL
76%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
5W/ 10G
90% confidence
5W/ 10G
99% confidence
6W/ 10G
Sheffield Wednesday
# 24 · 11 pts99%Escape Relegation
REL
✓
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
13W/ 10G
90% confidence
13W/ 10G
99% confidence
14W/ 10G