Live projections
The Kinetic
Ledger.
Complete magic-number analysis for every team. Mathematical certainty vs. atmospheric variance.
Coventry
# 01 · 77 pts96%Promotion
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion
75% confidence
3W/ 8G
90% confidence
4W/ 8G
99% confidence
4W/ 8G
Middlesbrough
# 02 · 70 pts64%Promotion Playoff
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
2W/ 8G
90% confidence
2W/ 8G
99% confidence
3W/ 8G
Millwall
# 03 · 68 pts78%Promotion Playoff
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
2W/ 8G
90% confidence
3W/ 8G
99% confidence
3W/ 8G
Ipswich
# 04 · 68 pts55%Promotion Playoff
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
2W/ 9G
90% confidence
3W/ 9G
99% confidence
3W/ 9G
Hull City
# 05 · 63 pts85%Promotion Playoff
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
4W/ 8G
90% confidence
5W/ 8G
99% confidence
5W/ 8G
Southampton
# 06 · 60 pts61%Promotion Playoff
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
5W/ 8G
90% confidence
6W/ 8G
99% confidence
6W/ 8G
Wrexham
# 07 · 60 pts26%Promotion Playoff
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
5W/ 8G
90% confidence
6W/ 8G
99% confidence
6W/ 8G
Derby
# 08 · 57 pts19%Promotion Playoff
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
6W/ 8G
90% confidence
7W/ 8G
99% confidence
7W/ 8G
Watford
# 09 · 55 pts3%Promotion Playoff
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
7W/ 8G
90% confidence
7W/ 8G
99% confidence
8W/ 8G
Birmingham
# 10 · 53 pts1%Promotion Playoff
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
7W/ 8G
90% confidence
8W/ 8G
99% confidence
8W/ 8G
Swansea
# 11 · 52 pts1%Promotion Playoff
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
8W/ 8G
90% confidence
8W/ 8G
99% confidence
9W/ 8G
Norwich
# 12 · 51 pts4%Promotion Playoff
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
8W/ 8G
90% confidence
9W/ 8G
99% confidence
9W/ 8G
Stoke City
# 13 · 51 pts0%Promotion
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion
75% confidence
12W/ 8G
90% confidence
12W/ 8G
99% confidence
13W/ 8G
Bristol City
# 14 · 51 pts1%Escape Relegation
REL
1%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
0W/ 8G
90% confidence
0W/ 8G
99% confidence
1W/ 8G
Sheffield Utd
# 15 · 50 pts1%Promotion Playoff
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
8W/ 8G
90% confidence
9W/ 8G
99% confidence
9W/ 8G
QPR
# 16 · 50 pts1%Escape Relegation
REL
1%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
0W/ 8G
90% confidence
1W/ 8G
99% confidence
1W/ 8G
Preston
# 17 · 49 pts1%Escape Relegation
REL
1%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
1W/ 8G
90% confidence
1W/ 8G
99% confidence
2W/ 8G
Charlton
# 18 · 48 pts1%Escape Relegation
REL
1%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
1W/ 8G
90% confidence
1W/ 8G
99% confidence
2W/ 8G
Leicester
# 19 · 44 pts6%Escape Relegation
REL
6%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
2W/ 8G
90% confidence
3W/ 8G
99% confidence
3W/ 8G
Blackburn
# 20 · 42 pts29%Escape Relegation
REL
29%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
3W/ 8G
90% confidence
3W/ 8G
99% confidence
4W/ 8G
Portsmouth
# 21 · 40 pts28%Escape Relegation
REL
28%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
4W/ 9G
90% confidence
4W/ 9G
99% confidence
5W/ 9G
West Brom
# 22 · 40 pts61%Escape Relegation
REL
61%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
4W/ 8G
90% confidence
4W/ 8G
99% confidence
5W/ 8G
Oxford United
# 23 · 39 pts76%Escape Relegation
REL
76%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
4W/ 8G
90% confidence
4W/ 8G
99% confidence
5W/ 8G
Sheffield Wednesday
# 24 · 12 pts99%Escape Relegation
REL
✓
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
13W/ 8G
90% confidence
13W/ 8G
99% confidence
14W/ 8G