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The Kinetic
Ledger.
Complete magic-number analysis for every team. Mathematical certainty vs. atmospheric variance.
Coventry
# 01 · 83 pts
99%
Promotion
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion
75% confidence
1
W
/ 6G
90% confidence
1
W
/ 6G
99% confidence
3
W
/ 6G
Millwall
# 02 · 72 pts
53%
Promotion Playoff
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
1
W
/ 6G
90% confidence
1
W
/ 6G
99% confidence
3
W
/ 6G
Middlesbrough
# 03 · 71 pts
81%
Promotion Playoff
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
2
W
/ 6G
90% confidence
2
W
/ 6G
99% confidence
3
W
/ 6G
Ipswich
# 04 · 69 pts
66%
Promotion Playoff
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
2
W
/ 8G
90% confidence
4
W
/ 8G
99% confidence
4
W
/ 8G
Hull City
# 05 · 67 pts
80%
Promotion Playoff
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
3
W
/ 6G
90% confidence
3
W
/ 6G
99% confidence
6
W
/ 6G
Wrexham
# 06 · 64 pts
41%
Promotion Playoff
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
4
W
/ 6G
90% confidence
6
W
/ 6G
99% confidence
6
W
/ 6G
Southampton
# 07 · 63 pts
69%
Promotion Playoff
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
4
W
/ 7G
90% confidence
5
W
/ 7G
99% confidence
7
W
/ 7G
Derby
# 08 · 60 pts
7%
Promotion Playoff
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
6
W
/ 6G
90% confidence
6
W
/ 6G
99% confidence
—
QPR
# 09 · 56 pts
1%
Promotion Playoff
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
—
90% confidence
—
99% confidence
—
Watford
# 10 · 56 pts
1%
Promotion Playoff
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
—
90% confidence
—
99% confidence
—
Norwich
# 11 · 55 pts
2%
Promotion Playoff
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
—
90% confidence
—
99% confidence
—
Stoke City
# 12 · 54 pts
1%
Promotion Playoff
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
—
90% confidence
—
99% confidence
—
Bristol City
# 13 · 54 pts
1%
Promotion Playoff
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
—
90% confidence
—
99% confidence
—
Swansea
# 14 · 53 pts
1%
Promotion Playoff
REL
1%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
—
90% confidence
—
99% confidence
—
Birmingham
# 15 · 53 pts
1%
Promotion Playoff
REL
1%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
—
90% confidence
—
99% confidence
—
Preston
# 16 · 53 pts
1%
Escape Relegation
REL
1%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
0
W
/ 6G
90% confidence
0
W
/ 6G
99% confidence
1
W
/ 6G
Sheffield Utd
# 17 · 51 pts
1%
Escape Relegation
REL
1%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
0
W
/ 6G
90% confidence
0
W
/ 6G
99% confidence
1
W
/ 6G
Charlton
# 18 · 48 pts
1%
Escape Relegation
REL
1%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
1
W
/ 6G
90% confidence
1
W
/ 6G
99% confidence
3
W
/ 6G
Blackburn
# 19 · 46 pts
14%
Escape Relegation
REL
14%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
2
W
/ 6G
90% confidence
2
W
/ 6G
99% confidence
3
W
/ 6G
Leicester
# 20 · 46 pts
13%
Escape Relegation
REL
13%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
2
W
/ 6G
90% confidence
2
W
/ 6G
99% confidence
3
W
/ 6G
West Brom
# 21 · 44 pts
36%
Escape Relegation
REL
36%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
3
W
/ 6G
90% confidence
3
W
/ 6G
99% confidence
3
W
/ 6G
Portsmouth
# 22 · 41 pts
55%
Escape Relegation
REL
55%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
4
W
/ 7G
90% confidence
4
W
/ 7G
99% confidence
4
W
/ 7G
Oxford United
# 23 · 40 pts
82%
Escape Relegation
REL
82%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
4
W
/ 6G
90% confidence
4
W
/ 6G
99% confidence
6
W
/ 6G
Sheffield Wednesday
# 24 · 12 pts
99%
Escape Relegation
REL
✓
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
—
90% confidence
—
99% confidence
—