Live projections
The Kinetic
Ledger.
Complete magic-number analysis for every team. Mathematical certainty vs. atmospheric variance.
Middlesbrough
# 01 · 13 pts30%Promotion
REL
1%
Wins for Promotion
75% confidence
24W/ 41G
90% confidence
25W/ 41G
99% confidence
27W/ 41G
Stoke City
# 02 · 12 pts27%Promotion Playoff
REL
2%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
21W/ 41G
90% confidence
22W/ 41G
99% confidence
23W/ 41G
Bristol City
# 03 · 11 pts28%Promotion Playoff
REL
2%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
22W/ 41G
90% confidence
22W/ 41G
99% confidence
23W/ 41G
Leicester
# 04 · 10 pts24%Promotion Playoff
REL
4%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
22W/ 41G
90% confidence
23W/ 41G
99% confidence
24W/ 41G
West Brom
# 05 · 10 pts24%Promotion Playoff
REL
5%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
22W/ 41G
90% confidence
23W/ 41G
99% confidence
24W/ 41G
Coventry
# 06 · 9 pts27%Promotion Playoff
REL
5%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
22W/ 41G
90% confidence
23W/ 41G
99% confidence
24W/ 41G
Swansea
# 07 · 8 pts19%Promotion Playoff
REL
7%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
23W/ 41G
90% confidence
23W/ 41G
99% confidence
24W/ 41G
Preston
# 08 · 8 pts19%Promotion Playoff
REL
7%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
23W/ 41G
90% confidence
23W/ 41G
99% confidence
24W/ 41G
Portsmouth
# 09 · 8 pts21%Promotion Playoff
REL
8%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
23W/ 41G
90% confidence
23W/ 41G
99% confidence
24W/ 41G
Norwich
# 10 · 7 pts22%Promotion Playoff
REL
7%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
23W/ 41G
90% confidence
24W/ 41G
99% confidence
25W/ 41G
Birmingham
# 11 · 7 pts16%Promotion Playoff
REL
8%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
23W/ 41G
90% confidence
24W/ 41G
99% confidence
25W/ 41G
QPR
# 12 · 7 pts18%Promotion Playoff
REL
9%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
23W/ 41G
90% confidence
24W/ 41G
99% confidence
25W/ 41G
Millwall
# 13 · 7 pts14%Promotion Playoff
REL
11%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
23W/ 41G
90% confidence
24W/ 41G
99% confidence
25W/ 41G
Blackburn
# 14 · 6 pts17%Promotion Playoff
REL
10%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
23W/ 41G
90% confidence
24W/ 41G
99% confidence
25W/ 41G
Ipswich
# 15 · 6 pts15%Promotion Playoff
REL
10%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
23W/ 41G
90% confidence
24W/ 41G
99% confidence
25W/ 41G
Southampton
# 16 · 6 pts15%Promotion Playoff
REL
11%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
23W/ 41G
90% confidence
24W/ 41G
99% confidence
25W/ 41G
Watford
# 17 · 5 pts12%Promotion Playoff
REL
16%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
24W/ 41G
90% confidence
24W/ 41G
99% confidence
25W/ 41G
Charlton
# 18 · 5 pts9%Promotion Playoff
REL
17%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
24W/ 41G
90% confidence
24W/ 41G
99% confidence
25W/ 41G
Derby
# 19 · 5 pts11%Promotion Playoff
REL
16%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
24W/ 41G
90% confidence
24W/ 41G
99% confidence
25W/ 41G
Hull City
# 20 · 5 pts11%Promotion Playoff
REL
18%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
24W/ 41G
90% confidence
24W/ 41G
99% confidence
25W/ 41G
Wrexham
# 21 · 4 pts10%Promotion Playoff
REL
17%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
24W/ 41G
90% confidence
25W/ 41G
99% confidence
26W/ 41G
Oxford United
# 22 · 2 pts7%Promotion Playoff
REL
27%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
25W/ 41G
90% confidence
25W/ 41G
99% confidence
26W/ 41G
Sheffield Wednesday
# 23 · 1 pts2%Promotion Playoff
REL
44%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
25W/ 41G
90% confidence
26W/ 41G
99% confidence
27W/ 41G
Sheffield Utd
# 24 · 0 pts4%Promotion Playoff
REL
42%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
25W/ 41G
90% confidence
26W/ 41G
99% confidence
27W/ 41G