Live projections
The Kinetic
Ledger.
Complete magic-number analysis for every team. Mathematical certainty vs. atmospheric variance.
Middlesbrough
# 01 · 16 pts34%Promotion
REL
1%
Wins for Promotion
75% confidence
23W/ 40G
90% confidence
24W/ 40G
99% confidence
25W/ 40G
Stoke City
# 02 · 12 pts26%Promotion Playoff
REL
3%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
21W/ 40G
90% confidence
22W/ 40G
99% confidence
23W/ 40G
Bristol City
# 03 · 11 pts25%Promotion Playoff
REL
4%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
22W/ 40G
90% confidence
22W/ 40G
99% confidence
23W/ 40G
Leicester
# 04 · 11 pts22%Promotion Playoff
REL
4%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
22W/ 40G
90% confidence
22W/ 40G
99% confidence
23W/ 40G
Preston
# 05 · 11 pts22%Promotion Playoff
REL
6%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
22W/ 40G
90% confidence
22W/ 40G
99% confidence
23W/ 40G
West Brom
# 06 · 10 pts23%Promotion Playoff
REL
6%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
22W/ 40G
90% confidence
22W/ 40G
99% confidence
23W/ 40G
Birmingham
# 07 · 10 pts20%Promotion Playoff
REL
6%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
22W/ 40G
90% confidence
22W/ 40G
99% confidence
23W/ 40G
QPR
# 08 · 10 pts22%Promotion Playoff
REL
6%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
22W/ 40G
90% confidence
22W/ 40G
99% confidence
23W/ 40G
Millwall
# 09 · 10 pts18%Promotion Playoff
REL
9%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
22W/ 40G
90% confidence
22W/ 40G
99% confidence
23W/ 40G
Coventry
# 10 · 10 pts26%Promotion Playoff
REL
3%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
22W/ 40G
90% confidence
22W/ 40G
99% confidence
23W/ 40G
Swansea
# 11 · 8 pts15%Promotion Playoff
REL
11%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
23W/ 40G
90% confidence
23W/ 40G
99% confidence
24W/ 40G
Charlton
# 12 · 8 pts13%Promotion Playoff
REL
12%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
23W/ 40G
90% confidence
23W/ 40G
99% confidence
24W/ 40G
Portsmouth
# 13 · 8 pts16%Promotion Playoff
REL
12%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
23W/ 40G
90% confidence
23W/ 40G
99% confidence
24W/ 40G
Hull City
# 14 · 8 pts13%Promotion Playoff
REL
14%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
23W/ 40G
90% confidence
23W/ 40G
99% confidence
24W/ 40G
Norwich
# 15 · 7 pts16%Promotion Playoff
REL
11%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
23W/ 40G
90% confidence
23W/ 40G
99% confidence
24W/ 40G
Blackburn
# 16 · 7 pts13%Promotion Playoff
REL
15%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
23W/ 40G
90% confidence
23W/ 40G
99% confidence
24W/ 40G
Wrexham
# 17 · 7 pts14%Promotion Playoff
REL
14%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
23W/ 40G
90% confidence
23W/ 40G
99% confidence
24W/ 40G
Ipswich
# 18 · 7 pts17%Promotion Playoff
REL
10%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
23W/ 40G
90% confidence
23W/ 40G
99% confidence
24W/ 40G
Southampton
# 19 · 6 pts14%Promotion Playoff
REL
16%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
23W/ 40G
90% confidence
24W/ 40G
99% confidence
25W/ 40G
Oxford United
# 20 · 5 pts11%Promotion Playoff
REL
16%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
24W/ 40G
90% confidence
24W/ 40G
99% confidence
25W/ 40G
Watford
# 21 · 5 pts8%Promotion Playoff
REL
20%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
24W/ 40G
90% confidence
24W/ 40G
99% confidence
25W/ 40G
Derby
# 22 · 5 pts8%Promotion Playoff
REL
21%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
24W/ 40G
90% confidence
24W/ 40G
99% confidence
25W/ 40G
Sheffield Wednesday
# 23 · 4 pts6%Promotion Playoff
REL
28%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
24W/ 40G
90% confidence
24W/ 40G
99% confidence
25W/ 40G
Sheffield Utd
# 24 · 0 pts3%Promotion Playoff
REL
51%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
25W/ 40G
90% confidence
26W/ 40G
99% confidence
27W/ 40G