What are Bahia's chances of achieving Relegation?

Bahia has a 2.2% probability of achieving Relegation, based on Monte Carlo simulations with 20,000 iterations.

How many wins does Bahia need for Relegation?

Bahia needs 11 wins in 30 remaining matches to achieve the objective with 90% confidence.

Brasileirão Série A

Season 2026

4th place·17 points·Current Elo: 1525

Relegation

Bahia has a 2% chance of being relegated and needs 9 wins in 30 remaining matches to escape relegation.

Objective	75%	90%	99%
Relegation	9/30	11/30	11/30

Expected points: 61

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