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Magic Numbers
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The Kinetic
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Complete magic-number analysis for every team. Mathematical certainty vs. atmospheric variance.
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Brasileirão Série A
Palmeiras
# 01 · 44 pts
55%
Champion
1st
55%
LIB
✓
REL
0%
Wins for Champion
75% confidence
14
W
/ 19G
90% confidence
19
W
/ 19G
99% confidence
19
W
/ 19G
Flamengo
# 02 · 37 pts
98%
Libertadores
1st
43%
LIB
98%
REL
0%
Wins for Libertadores
75% confidence
9
W
/ 20G
90% confidence
10
W
/ 20G
99% confidence
15
W
/ 20G
Atletico Paranaense
# 03 · 33 pts
47%
Libertadores
1st
1%
LIB
47%
REL
1%
Wins for Libertadores
75% confidence
11
W
/ 19G
90% confidence
14
W
/ 19G
99% confidence
14
W
/ 19G
Fluminense
# 04 · 32 pts
36%
Sulamericana
1st
1%
LIB
33%
REL
1%
Wins for Sulamericana
75% confidence
6
W
/ 19G
90% confidence
9
W
/ 19G
99% confidence
9
W
/ 19G
RB Bragantino
# 05 · 30 pts
35%
Libertadores
1st
1%
LIB
35%
REL
1%
Wins for Libertadores
75% confidence
12
W
/ 19G
90% confidence
14
W
/ 19G
99% confidence
14
W
/ 19G
Bahia
# 06 · 30 pts
45%
Sulamericana
1st
1%
LIB
20%
REL
2%
Wins for Sulamericana
75% confidence
7
W
/ 19G
90% confidence
9
W
/ 19G
99% confidence
9
W
/ 19G
Cruzeiro
# 07 · 27 pts
43%
Sulamericana
1st
1%
LIB
5%
REL
12%
Wins for Sulamericana
75% confidence
8
W
/ 19G
90% confidence
9
W
/ 19G
99% confidence
9
W
/ 19G
Coritiba
# 08 · 26 pts
46%
Sulamericana
1st
1%
LIB
9%
REL
8%
Wins for Sulamericana
75% confidence
8
W
/ 19G
90% confidence
9
W
/ 19G
99% confidence
11
W
/ 19G
Sao Paulo
# 09 · 25 pts
50%
Sulamericana
1st
1%
LIB
10%
REL
5%
Wins for Sulamericana
75% confidence
9
W
/ 19G
90% confidence
9
W
/ 19G
99% confidence
11
W
/ 19G
Botafogo
# 10 · 25 pts
43%
Sulamericana
1st
1%
LIB
18%
REL
5%
Wins for Sulamericana
75% confidence
9
W
/ 20G
90% confidence
9
W
/ 20G
99% confidence
10
W
/ 20G
Atletico-MG
# 11 · 25 pts
46%
Sulamericana
1st
1%
LIB
7%
REL
9%
Wins for Sulamericana
75% confidence
9
W
/ 19G
90% confidence
9
W
/ 19G
99% confidence
11
W
/ 19G
Vitoria
# 12 · 25 pts
59%
Sulamericana
1st
1%
LIB
7%
REL
2%
Wins for Sulamericana
75% confidence
9
W
/ 20G
90% confidence
9
W
/ 20G
99% confidence
10
W
/ 20G
Corinthians
# 13 · 24 pts
47%
Sulamericana
1st
1%
LIB
8%
REL
8%
Wins for Sulamericana
75% confidence
9
W
/ 20G
90% confidence
10
W
/ 20G
99% confidence
10
W
/ 20G
Internacional
# 14 · 21 pts
28%
Sulamericana
1st
0%
LIB
1%
REL
30%
Wins for Sulamericana
75% confidence
10
W
/ 19G
90% confidence
11
W
/ 19G
99% confidence
11
W
/ 19G
Santos
# 15 · 21 pts
26%
Sulamericana
1st
0%
LIB
1%
REL
33%
Wins for Sulamericana
75% confidence
10
W
/ 19G
90% confidence
11
W
/ 19G
99% confidence
11
W
/ 19G
Gremio
# 16 · 21 pts
26%
Sulamericana
1st
0%
LIB
1%
REL
31%
Wins for Sulamericana
75% confidence
10
W
/ 19G
90% confidence
11
W
/ 19G
99% confidence
11
W
/ 19G
Vasco DA Gama
# 17 · 20 pts
15%
Sulamericana
1st
1%
LIB
1%
REL
52%
Wins for Sulamericana
75% confidence
10
W
/ 19G
90% confidence
11
W
/ 19G
99% confidence
11
W
/ 19G
Mirassol
# 18 · 19 pts
17%
Sulamericana
1st
0%
LIB
1%
REL
47%
Wins for Sulamericana
75% confidence
11
W
/ 20G
90% confidence
11
W
/ 20G
99% confidence
12
W
/ 20G
Remo
# 19 · 18 pts
14%
Sulamericana
1st
0%
LIB
1%
REL
55%
Wins for Sulamericana
75% confidence
11
W
/ 20G
90% confidence
12
W
/ 20G
99% confidence
12
W
/ 20G
Chapecoense-sc
# 20 · 9 pts
99%
Escape Relegation
1st
✕
LIB
0%
REL
✓
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
12
W
/ 19G
90% confidence
12
W
/ 19G
99% confidence
14
W
/ 19G
