What are Santos's chances of achieving Libertadores?

Santos has a 4.5% probability of achieving Libertadores, based on Monte Carlo simulations with 20,000 iterations.

How many wins does Santos need for Libertadores?

Santos needs 21 wins in 29 remaining matches to achieve the objective with 90% confidence.

Brasileirão Série A

Season 2026

14th place·10 points·Current Elo: 1491

Libertadores

Santos has a 5% chance of qualifying for the Libertadores and needs 19 wins in 29 remaining matches.

Objective	75%	90%	99%
Libertadores	19/29	21/29	21/29

Expected points: 49

3543495563

P5P25P50P75P95

...