ProbFut
Brasileirão Série A · 2026 · # 12

Vitoria

Pts

29

MP

23

W

8

GD

-10

What does the team need?

Primary Objective

Sulamericana

Wins needed to qualify for the Sulamericana.
75% confidence
7Wins
90% confidence
9Wins
99% confidence
9Wins
Libertadores
Wins needed to qualify directly for the Libertadores.1%
13Wins
75% confidence
Libertadores Playoff
Wins needed to reach the Libertadores playoff spots.4%
11Wins
75% confidence

ProbFut AI Analysis

Vitoria edged past Botafogo 1-0 and breathed a sigh of relief as their relegation risk dropped to 7%, moving up to 29 points. Leão da Barra now set their sights on the Sul-Americana, where they hold a 49% chance, needing 7 wins in the remaining 15 rounds to secure the berth with 75% certainty. Their next challenge is the state derby against Bahia on August 23.

Remaining Fixtures

RDOpponentW / D / LExp. Pts
24(BAH)
1.47
25(GAL)
1.02
26(GRE)
1.60
27(MIR)
1.25
28(CRU)
1.43