What are Sao Paulo's chances of achieving Libertadores Playoff?

Sao Paulo has a 16.3% probability of achieving Libertadores Playoff, based on Monte Carlo simulations with 20,000 iterations.

How many wins does Sao Paulo need for Libertadores Playoff?

Sao Paulo needs 14 wins in 28 remaining matches to achieve the objective with 90% confidence.

Brasileirão Série A

Season 2026

2th place·20 points·Current Elo: 1534

Libertadores Playoff

16%

Sao Paulo has a 16% chance of qualifying for the Libertadores Playoff and needs 14 wins in 28 remaining matches.

Objective	75%	90%	99%
Libertadores Playoff	14/28	14/28	15/28

Expected points: 67

5462677280

P5P25P50P75P95

...