Brasileirão Série A · 2026 · # 05
Bahia
Pts
46
MP
28
W
12
GD
+8
Primary Objective
Libertadores
Wins needed to qualify directly for the Libertadores.22%
Probability — Bahia
Wins required by confidence level
75% confidence
7Wins/ 10
90% confidence
10Wins/ 10
99% confidence
10Wins/ 10
ProbFut AI Analysis
A 2-1 away defeat against Atletico Paranaense kept Bahia in 5th place and lowered their chances of a direct Libertadores berth to 22%, while consolidating a 41% likelihood of entering the preliminary round. O Tricolor de Aço need 7 wins from their final 10 games to secure a direct spot with a 75% probability, requiring a high points haul given the fierce competition at the top. Their next fixture comes on October 9 against Palmeiras, a demanding test away from Salvador.
FAQ
Frequently Asked Questions
What are Bahia's chances of achieving Libertadores?
Bahia has a 21.8% probability of achieving Libertadores, based on Monte Carlo simulations with 20,000 iterations.
How many wins does Bahia need for Libertadores?
Bahia needs 10 wins in 10 remaining matches to achieve the objective with 90% confidence.