Brasileirão Série A · 2026 · # 06
Bahia
Pts
37
MP
24
W
9
GD
+6
Primary Objective
Libertadores
Wins needed to qualify directly for the Libertadores.10%
Probability — Bahia
Wins required by confidence level
75% confidence
10Wins/ 14
90% confidence
14Wins/ 14
99% confidence
14Wins/ 14
ProbFut AI Analysis
Bahia won the derby against Vitoria 2-0 away from home and climbed to 6th place with 37 points. Esquadrão de Aço increased their chances of qualifying for the Libertadores playoffs to 23% while holding a 59% chance for the Sul-Americana, needing 8 wins from their remaining 14 matches to hit the 75% threshold. Their next test comes against Internacional on August 30.
FAQ
Frequently Asked Questions
What are Bahia's chances of achieving Libertadores?
Bahia has a 9.9% probability of achieving Libertadores, based on Monte Carlo simulations with 20,000 iterations.
How many wins does Bahia need for Libertadores?
Bahia needs 14 wins in 14 remaining matches to achieve the objective with 90% confidence.