Brasileirão Série A · 2026 · # 05
Bahia
Pts
46
MP
28
W
12
GD
+8
Primary Objective
Libertadores Playoff
Wins needed to reach the Libertadores playoff spots.41%
Probability — Bahia
Wins required by confidence level
75% confidence
5Wins/ 10
90% confidence
6Wins/ 10
99% confidence
6Wins/ 10
ProbFut AI Analysis
A 2-1 away defeat against Atletico Paranaense kept Bahia in 5th place and lowered their chances of a direct Libertadores berth to 22%, while consolidating a 41% likelihood of entering the preliminary round. O Tricolor de Aço need 7 wins from their final 10 games to secure a direct spot with a 75% probability, requiring a high points haul given the fierce competition at the top. Their next fixture comes on October 9 against Palmeiras, a demanding test away from Salvador.
FAQ
Frequently Asked Questions
What are Bahia's chances of achieving Libertadores Playoff?
Bahia has a 40.7% probability of achieving Libertadores Playoff, based on Monte Carlo simulations with 20,000 iterations.
How many wins does Bahia need for Libertadores Playoff?
Bahia needs 6 wins in 10 remaining matches to achieve the objective with 90% confidence.