ProbFut
Brasileirão Série A · 2026 · # 06

Bahia

Pts

37

MP

24

W

9

GD

+6

Primary Objective

Libertadores Playoff

Wins needed to reach the Libertadores playoff spots.
23%

Probability — Bahia

Wins required by confidence level
75% confidence
8Wins/ 14
90% confidence
10Wins/ 14
99% confidence
10Wins/ 14

ProbFut AI Analysis

Bahia won the derby against Vitoria 2-0 away from home and climbed to 6th place with 37 points. Esquadrão de Aço increased their chances of qualifying for the Libertadores playoffs to 23% while holding a 59% chance for the Sul-Americana, needing 8 wins from their remaining 14 matches to hit the 75% threshold. Their next test comes against Internacional on August 30.

FAQ

Frequently Asked Questions

What are Bahia's chances of achieving Libertadores Playoff?
Bahia has a 23.1% probability of achieving Libertadores Playoff, based on Monte Carlo simulations with 20,000 iterations.
How many wins does Bahia need for Libertadores Playoff?
Bahia needs 10 wins in 14 remaining matches to achieve the objective with 90% confidence.