Brasileirão Série A · 2026 · # 05
Bahia
Pts
46
MP
28
W
12
GD
+8
Primary Objective
Escape Relegation
Wins needed to escape direct relegation.0%
Probability — Bahia
Wins required by confidence level
75% confidence
✓
90% confidence
✓
99% confidence
✓
ProbFut AI Analysis
A 2-1 away defeat against Atletico Paranaense kept Bahia in 5th place and lowered their chances of a direct Libertadores berth to 22%, while consolidating a 41% likelihood of entering the preliminary round. O Tricolor de Aço need 7 wins from their final 10 games to secure a direct spot with a 75% probability, requiring a high points haul given the fierce competition at the top. Their next fixture comes on October 9 against Palmeiras, a demanding test away from Salvador.
FAQ
Frequently Asked Questions
What are Bahia's chances of achieving Escape Relegation?
Bahia has a 0.0% probability of achieving Escape Relegation, based on Monte Carlo simulations with 20,000 iterations.
How many wins does Bahia need for Escape Relegation?
Bahia needs 0 wins in 10 remaining matches to achieve the objective with 90% confidence.