Brasileirão Série A · 2026 · # 06
Bahia
Pts
37
MP
24
W
9
GD
+6
Primary Objective
Escape Relegation
Wins needed to escape direct relegation.1%
Probability — Bahia
Wins required by confidence level
75% confidence
2Wins/ 14
90% confidence
3Wins/ 14
99% confidence
3Wins/ 14
ProbFut AI Analysis
Bahia won the derby against Vitoria 2-0 away from home and climbed to 6th place with 37 points. Esquadrão de Aço increased their chances of qualifying for the Libertadores playoffs to 23% while holding a 59% chance for the Sul-Americana, needing 8 wins from their remaining 14 matches to hit the 75% threshold. Their next test comes against Internacional on August 30.
FAQ
Frequently Asked Questions
What are Bahia's chances of achieving Escape Relegation?
Bahia has a 0.3% probability of achieving Escape Relegation, based on Monte Carlo simulations with 20,000 iterations.
How many wins does Bahia need for Escape Relegation?
Bahia needs 3 wins in 14 remaining matches to achieve the objective with 90% confidence.