ProbFut
Brasileirão Série A · 2026 · # 06

Bahia

Pts

37

MP

24

W

9

GD

+6

Primary Objective

Sulamericana

Wins needed to qualify for the Sulamericana.
59%

Probability — Bahia

Wins required by confidence level
75% confidence
5Wins/ 14
90% confidence
5Wins/ 14
99% confidence
7Wins/ 14

ProbFut AI Analysis

Bahia won the derby against Vitoria 2-0 away from home and climbed to 6th place with 37 points. Esquadrão de Aço increased their chances of qualifying for the Libertadores playoffs to 23% while holding a 59% chance for the Sul-Americana, needing 8 wins from their remaining 14 matches to hit the 75% threshold. Their next test comes against Internacional on August 30.

FAQ

Frequently Asked Questions

What are Bahia's chances of achieving Sulamericana?
Bahia has a 59.5% probability of achieving Sulamericana, based on Monte Carlo simulations with 20,000 iterations.
How many wins does Bahia need for Sulamericana?
Bahia needs 5 wins in 14 remaining matches to achieve the objective with 90% confidence.