
Brasileirão Série A · 2026 · # 06
Cruzeiro
Pts
45
MP
28
W
13
GD
+2
Primary Objective
Libertadores
Wins needed to qualify directly for the Libertadores.40%
Probability — Cruzeiro
Wins required by confidence level
75% confidence
7Wins/ 10
90% confidence
10Wins/ 10
99% confidence
10Wins/ 10
ProbFut AI Analysis
A decisive 3-1 win over Vitoria sent Cruzeiro's chances soaring to a 40% probability of direct Libertadores qualification and 39% for the preliminary phase. A Raposa are targeting 7 wins from their remaining 10 fixtures to lock down a G-4 finish with 75% statistical certainty, fueled by an efficient attack that compensates for a congested table. The celestial side's next test comes on October 8 against Sao Paulo at the Mineirão.
FAQ
Frequently Asked Questions
What are Cruzeiro's chances of achieving Libertadores?
Cruzeiro has a 39.7% probability of achieving Libertadores, based on Monte Carlo simulations with 20,000 iterations.
How many wins does Cruzeiro need for Libertadores?
Cruzeiro needs 10 wins in 10 remaining matches to achieve the objective with 90% confidence.