ProbFut
Brasileirão Série A · 2026 · # 06

Cruzeiro

Pts

45

MP

28

W

13

GD

+2

Primary Objective

Libertadores Playoff

Wins needed to reach the Libertadores playoff spots.
39%

Probability — Cruzeiro

Wins required by confidence level
75% confidence
5Wins/ 10
90% confidence
6Wins/ 10
99% confidence
7Wins/ 10

ProbFut AI Analysis

A decisive 3-1 win over Vitoria sent Cruzeiro's chances soaring to a 40% probability of direct Libertadores qualification and 39% for the preliminary phase. A Raposa are targeting 7 wins from their remaining 10 fixtures to lock down a G-4 finish with 75% statistical certainty, fueled by an efficient attack that compensates for a congested table. The celestial side's next test comes on October 8 against Sao Paulo at the Mineirão.

FAQ

Frequently Asked Questions

What are Cruzeiro's chances of achieving Libertadores Playoff?
Cruzeiro has a 39.5% probability of achieving Libertadores Playoff, based on Monte Carlo simulations with 20,000 iterations.
How many wins does Cruzeiro need for Libertadores Playoff?
Cruzeiro needs 6 wins in 10 remaining matches to achieve the objective with 90% confidence.