Brasileirão Série A · 2026 · # 01
Palmeiras
Pts
51
MP
24
W
15
GD
+24
Primary Objective
Champion
Wins needed to finish in 1st place.57%
Probability — Palmeiras
Wins required by confidence level
75% confidence
10Wins/ 14
90% confidence
14Wins/ 14
99% confidence
14Wins/ 14
ProbFut AI Analysis
Palmeiras cruised past Vasco DA Gama 4-1 to consolidate their outright lead on 51 points. Following their victory and the second-placed team's slip-up, Verdão saw their title probability jump to 57%, alongside an almost certain 99% chance of direct Libertadores qualification, needing 10 wins from their remaining 14 matches to win the league at 75%. Their next match is against Mirassol on August 30.
FAQ
Frequently Asked Questions
What are Palmeiras's chances of achieving Champion?
Palmeiras has a 57.4% probability of achieving Champion, based on Monte Carlo simulations with 20,000 iterations.
How many wins does Palmeiras need for Champion?
Palmeiras needs 14 wins in 14 remaining matches to achieve the objective with 90% confidence.