Brasileirão Série A · 2026 · # 02
Palmeiras
Pts
57
MP
28
W
16
GD
+26
Primary Objective
Libertadores
Wins needed to qualify directly for the Libertadores.✓
Probability — Palmeiras
Wins required by confidence level
75% confidence
3Wins/ 10
90% confidence
5Wins/ 10
99% confidence
5Wins/ 10
ProbFut AI Analysis
A 0-0 draw against Gremio saw Palmeiras' title chances shrink to 23%, leaving them 3 points adrift of the leaders. O Verdão need to win 9 of their remaining 10 games to keep their title hopes alive at the 75% confidence interval, though direct Libertadores qualification is already virtually assured at 99%. The Alviverde side will seek an immediate rebound on October 9 against Bahia at Allianz Parque.
FAQ
Frequently Asked Questions
What are Palmeiras's chances of achieving Libertadores?
Palmeiras has a 99.5% probability of achieving Libertadores, based on Monte Carlo simulations with 20,000 iterations.
How many wins does Palmeiras need for Libertadores?
Palmeiras needs 5 wins in 10 remaining matches to achieve the objective with 90% confidence.