Brasileirão Série A · 2026 · # 01
Palmeiras
Pts
51
MP
24
W
15
GD
+24
Primary Objective
Libertadores Playoff
Wins needed to reach the Libertadores playoff spots.1%
Probability — Palmeiras
Wins required by confidence level
75% confidence
3Wins/ 14
90% confidence
5Wins/ 14
99% confidence
5Wins/ 14
ProbFut AI Analysis
Palmeiras cruised past Vasco DA Gama 4-1 to consolidate their outright lead on 51 points. Following their victory and the second-placed team's slip-up, Verdão saw their title probability jump to 57%, alongside an almost certain 99% chance of direct Libertadores qualification, needing 10 wins from their remaining 14 matches to win the league at 75%. Their next match is against Mirassol on August 30.
FAQ
Frequently Asked Questions
What are Palmeiras's chances of achieving Libertadores Playoff?
Palmeiras has a 0.5% probability of achieving Libertadores Playoff, based on Monte Carlo simulations with 20,000 iterations.
How many wins does Palmeiras need for Libertadores Playoff?
Palmeiras needs 5 wins in 14 remaining matches to achieve the objective with 90% confidence.