ProbFut
Brasileirão Série A · 2026 · # 01

Palmeiras

Pts

51

MP

24

W

15

GD

+24

Primary Objective

Escape Relegation

Wins needed to escape direct relegation.
0%

Probability — Palmeiras

Wins required by confidence level
75% confidence
90% confidence
99% confidence

ProbFut AI Analysis

Palmeiras cruised past Vasco DA Gama 4-1 to consolidate their outright lead on 51 points. Following their victory and the second-placed team's slip-up, Verdão saw their title probability jump to 57%, alongside an almost certain 99% chance of direct Libertadores qualification, needing 10 wins from their remaining 14 matches to win the league at 75%. Their next match is against Mirassol on August 30.

FAQ

Frequently Asked Questions

What are Palmeiras's chances of achieving Escape Relegation?
Palmeiras has a 0.0% probability of achieving Escape Relegation, based on Monte Carlo simulations with 20,000 iterations.
How many wins does Palmeiras need for Escape Relegation?
Palmeiras needs 0 wins in 14 remaining matches to achieve the objective with 90% confidence.