ProbFut
Brasileirão Série A · 2026 · # 02

Palmeiras

Pts

57

MP

28

W

16

GD

+26

Primary Objective

Sulamericana

Wins needed to qualify for the Sulamericana.
1%

Probability — Palmeiras

Wins required by confidence level
75% confidence
✓
90% confidence
✓
99% confidence
✓

ProbFut AI Analysis

A 0-0 draw against Gremio saw Palmeiras' title chances shrink to 23%, leaving them 3 points adrift of the leaders. O Verdão need to win 9 of their remaining 10 games to keep their title hopes alive at the 75% confidence interval, though direct Libertadores qualification is already virtually assured at 99%. The Alviverde side will seek an immediate rebound on October 9 against Bahia at Allianz Parque.

FAQ

Frequently Asked Questions

What are Palmeiras's chances of achieving Sulamericana?
Palmeiras has a 0.0% probability of achieving Sulamericana, based on Monte Carlo simulations with 20,000 iterations.
How many wins does Palmeiras need for Sulamericana?
Palmeiras needs 0 wins in 10 remaining matches to achieve the objective with 90% confidence.