ProbFut
Brasileirão Série A · 2026 · # 12

Vitoria

Pts

29

MP

24

W

8

GD

-12

Primary Objective

Libertadores

Wins needed to qualify directly for the Libertadores.
1%

Probability — Vitoria

Wins required by confidence level
75% confidence
13Wins/ 14
90% confidence
13Wins/ 14
99% confidence
14Wins/ 14

ProbFut AI Analysis

Vitoria were defeated 2-0 at home by rivals Bahia and sit in 12th place in the standings with 29 points. Leão da Barra saw their Sul-Americana chances drop to 37% while their relegation risk rose to 11%, requiring 4 wins from their final 14 rounds to guarantee survival at 75%. The team visit Atletico-MG on August 29.

FAQ

Frequently Asked Questions

What are Vitoria's chances of achieving Libertadores?
Vitoria has a 0.1% probability of achieving Libertadores, based on Monte Carlo simulations with 20,000 iterations.
How many wins does Vitoria need for Libertadores?
Vitoria needs 13 wins in 14 remaining matches to achieve the objective with 90% confidence.