ProbFut
Brasileirão Série A · 2026 · # 12

Vitoria

Pts

29

MP

24

W

8

GD

-12

Primary Objective

Libertadores Playoff

Wins needed to reach the Libertadores playoff spots.
1%

Probability — Vitoria

Wins required by confidence level
75% confidence
11Wins/ 14
90% confidence
11Wins/ 14
99% confidence
12Wins/ 14

ProbFut AI Analysis

Vitoria were defeated 2-0 at home by rivals Bahia and sit in 12th place in the standings with 29 points. Leão da Barra saw their Sul-Americana chances drop to 37% while their relegation risk rose to 11%, requiring 4 wins from their final 14 rounds to guarantee survival at 75%. The team visit Atletico-MG on August 29.

FAQ

Frequently Asked Questions

What are Vitoria's chances of achieving Libertadores Playoff?
Vitoria has a 1.0% probability of achieving Libertadores Playoff, based on Monte Carlo simulations with 20,000 iterations.
How many wins does Vitoria need for Libertadores Playoff?
Vitoria needs 11 wins in 14 remaining matches to achieve the objective with 90% confidence.