Brasileirão Série A · 2026 · # 13
Vitoria
Pts
33
MP
28
W
9
GD
-14
Primary Objective
Escape Relegation
Wins needed to escape direct relegation.28%
Probability — Vitoria
Wins required by confidence level
75% confidence
3Wins/ 10
90% confidence
5Wins/ 10
99% confidence
5Wins/ 10
ProbFut AI Analysis
A 3-1 home loss to Cruzeiro raised alarms for Vitoria, seeing their relegation risk jump from 9% to 28%. O Leão da Barra project needing 3 wins from their final 10 fixtures to ward off the threat of the drop at the 75% confidence level, while their Sul-Americana chances slid to 18%. The Bahia side will look to bounce back immediately on October 7 against Chapecoense-sc at the Barradão.
FAQ
Frequently Asked Questions
What are Vitoria's chances of achieving Escape Relegation?
Vitoria has a 27.8% probability of achieving Escape Relegation, based on Monte Carlo simulations with 20,000 iterations.
How many wins does Vitoria need for Escape Relegation?
Vitoria needs 5 wins in 10 remaining matches to achieve the objective with 90% confidence.