ProbFut
Brasileirão Série A · 2026 · # 12

Vitoria

Pts

29

MP

24

W

8

GD

-12

Primary Objective

Escape Relegation

Wins needed to escape direct relegation.
11%

Probability — Vitoria

Wins required by confidence level
75% confidence
4Wins/ 14
90% confidence
5Wins/ 14
99% confidence
7Wins/ 14

ProbFut AI Analysis

Vitoria were defeated 2-0 at home by rivals Bahia and sit in 12th place in the standings with 29 points. Leão da Barra saw their Sul-Americana chances drop to 37% while their relegation risk rose to 11%, requiring 4 wins from their final 14 rounds to guarantee survival at 75%. The team visit Atletico-MG on August 29.

FAQ

Frequently Asked Questions

What are Vitoria's chances of achieving Escape Relegation?
Vitoria has a 11.3% probability of achieving Escape Relegation, based on Monte Carlo simulations with 20,000 iterations.
How many wins does Vitoria need for Escape Relegation?
Vitoria needs 5 wins in 14 remaining matches to achieve the objective with 90% confidence.