Brasileirão Série A · 2026 · # 13
Vitoria
Pts
33
MP
28
W
9
GD
-14
Primary Objective
Sulamericana
Wins needed to qualify for the Sulamericana.18%
Probability — Vitoria
Wins required by confidence level
75% confidence
6Wins/ 10
90% confidence
6Wins/ 10
99% confidence
7Wins/ 10
ProbFut AI Analysis
A 3-1 home loss to Cruzeiro raised alarms for Vitoria, seeing their relegation risk jump from 9% to 28%. O Leão da Barra project needing 3 wins from their final 10 fixtures to ward off the threat of the drop at the 75% confidence level, while their Sul-Americana chances slid to 18%. The Bahia side will look to bounce back immediately on October 7 against Chapecoense-sc at the Barradão.
FAQ
Frequently Asked Questions
What are Vitoria's chances of achieving Sulamericana?
Vitoria has a 17.8% probability of achieving Sulamericana, based on Monte Carlo simulations with 20,000 iterations.
How many wins does Vitoria need for Sulamericana?
Vitoria needs 6 wins in 10 remaining matches to achieve the objective with 90% confidence.