ProbFut
Brasileirão Série B · 2026 · # 16

Avai

Pts

29

MP

24

W

8

GD

-3

What does the team need?

Primary Objective

Escape Relegation

Wins needed to escape direct relegation.
75% confidence
6Wins
90% confidence
6Wins
99% confidence
7Wins
Promotion
Wins needed for direct promotion.1%
13Wins
75% confidence

ProbFut AI Analysis

Avaí beat Ponte Preta 2-0 away from home and climbed to 16th place, moving onto 29 points in the league. With relegation risk estimated at 29%, Leão da Ilha need 6 wins from their remaining 14 matches to secure survival with 75% probability in the simulations. The Santa Catarina club's next test will be against Atlético Goianiense on August 30.

Remaining Fixtures

RDOpponentW / D / LExp. Pts
25(ACG)
1.51
26(NOV)
0.89
27(FOR)
1.00
28(VIL)
1.41
29(GOI)
1.18