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Magic Numbers
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The Kinetic
Ledger.
Complete magic-number analysis for every team. Mathematical certainty vs. atmospheric variance.
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Brasileirão Série B
Criciuma
# 01 · 39 pts
92%
Promotion
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion
75% confidence
9
W
/ 19G
90% confidence
19
W
/ 19G
99% confidence
19
W
/ 19G
Operario-PR
# 02 · 35 pts
45%
Promotion
REL
1%
Wins for Promotion
75% confidence
11
W
/ 19G
90% confidence
11
W
/ 19G
99% confidence
14
W
/ 19G
Vila Nova
# 03 · 34 pts
45%
Promotion
REL
1%
Wins for Promotion
75% confidence
11
W
/ 19G
90% confidence
14
W
/ 19G
99% confidence
14
W
/ 19G
Juventude
# 04 · 32 pts
66%
Promotion
REL
1%
Wins for Promotion
75% confidence
12
W
/ 20G
90% confidence
12
W
/ 20G
99% confidence
15
W
/ 20G
Fortaleza EC
# 05 · 31 pts
25%
Promotion
REL
1%
Wins for Promotion
75% confidence
12
W
/ 19G
90% confidence
14
W
/ 19G
99% confidence
14
W
/ 19G
Novorizontino
# 06 · 30 pts
43%
Promotion
REL
1%
Wins for Promotion
75% confidence
12
W
/ 19G
90% confidence
14
W
/ 19G
99% confidence
14
W
/ 19G
Goias
# 07 · 29 pts
9%
Promotion
REL
6%
Wins for Promotion
75% confidence
13
W
/ 19G
90% confidence
13
W
/ 19G
99% confidence
14
W
/ 19G
Sport Recife
# 08 · 28 pts
21%
Promotion
REL
1%
Wins for Promotion
75% confidence
13
W
/ 19G
90% confidence
14
W
/ 19G
99% confidence
19
W
/ 19G
São Bernardo
# 09 · 27 pts
31%
Promotion
REL
1%
Wins for Promotion
75% confidence
13
W
/ 20G
90% confidence
15
W
/ 20G
99% confidence
15
W
/ 20G
CRB
# 10 · 26 pts
5%
Promotion
REL
10%
Wins for Promotion
75% confidence
14
W
/ 19G
90% confidence
14
W
/ 19G
99% confidence
19
W
/ 19G
Atletico Goianiense
# 11 · 25 pts
3%
Promotion
REL
11%
Wins for Promotion
75% confidence
14
W
/ 20G
90% confidence
15
W
/ 20G
99% confidence
20
W
/ 20G
Nautico Recife
# 12 · 24 pts
3%
Promotion
REL
10%
Wins for Promotion
75% confidence
14
W
/ 19G
90% confidence
19
W
/ 19G
99% confidence
19
W
/ 19G
Cuiaba
# 13 · 24 pts
4%
Promotion
REL
8%
Wins for Promotion
75% confidence
15
W
/ 20G
90% confidence
15
W
/ 20G
99% confidence
20
W
/ 20G
Athletic Club
# 14 · 24 pts
3%
Promotion
REL
10%
Wins for Promotion
75% confidence
14
W
/ 20G
90% confidence
15
W
/ 20G
99% confidence
20
W
/ 20G
Botafogo SP
# 15 · 21 pts
3%
Promotion
REL
13%
Wins for Promotion
75% confidence
15
W
/ 20G
90% confidence
20
W
/ 20G
99% confidence
20
W
/ 20G
Londrina
# 16 · 20 pts
2%
Promotion
REL
23%
Wins for Promotion
75% confidence
16
W
/ 19G
90% confidence
16
W
/ 19G
99% confidence
19
W
/ 19G
Avai
# 17 · 20 pts
43%
Escape Relegation
REL
43%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
8
W
/ 19G
90% confidence
9
W
/ 19G
99% confidence
14
W
/ 19G
Ceara
# 18 · 19 pts
64%
Escape Relegation
REL
64%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
9
W
/ 19G
90% confidence
9
W
/ 19G
99% confidence
14
W
/ 19G
Ponte Preta
# 19 · 8 pts
99%
Escape Relegation
REL
✓
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
12
W
/ 19G
90% confidence
14
W
/ 19G
99% confidence
14
W
/ 19G
America Mineiro
# 20 · 8 pts
99%
Escape Relegation
REL
✓
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
12
W
/ 19G
90% confidence
14
W
/ 19G
99% confidence
14
W
/ 19G