Brasileirão Série B · 2026 · # 16
Avai
Pts
29
MP
24
W
8
GD
-3
Primary Objective
Promotion
Wins needed for direct promotion.1%
Probability — Avai
Wins required by confidence level
75% confidence
13Wins/ 14
90% confidence
13Wins/ 14
99% confidence
14Wins/ 14
ProbFut AI Analysis
Avaí beat Ponte Preta 2-0 away from home and climbed to 16th place, moving onto 29 points in the league. With relegation risk estimated at 29%, Leão da Ilha need 6 wins from their remaining 14 matches to secure survival with 75% probability in the simulations. The Santa Catarina club's next test will be against Atlético Goianiense on August 30.
FAQ
Frequently Asked Questions
What are Avai's chances of achieving Promotion?
Avai has a 0.1% probability of achieving Promotion, based on Monte Carlo simulations with 20,000 iterations.
How many wins does Avai need for Promotion?
Avai needs 13 wins in 14 remaining matches to achieve the objective with 90% confidence.