
Brasileirão Série B · 2026 · # 17
Avai
Pts
30
MP
29
W
8
GD
-8
Primary Objective
Promotion
Wins needed for direct promotion.0%
Probability — Avai
Wins required by confidence level
75% confidence
—
90% confidence
—
99% confidence
—
ProbFut AI Analysis
Avaí saw their relegation risk jump from 45% to 73% following a 2-1 loss against Goiás. Stuck in 17th place with 30 points from 29 games, o Leão da Ilha need to win at least 5 of their last 9 matches to guarantee survival with a 75% probability. Their bounce-back bid will be tested in the Santa Catarina derby against Criciúma, set for September 27.
FAQ
Frequently Asked Questions
What are Avai's chances of achieving Promotion?
Avai has a 0.0% probability of achieving Promotion, based on Monte Carlo simulations with 20,000 iterations.