ProbFut
Brasileirão Série B · 2026 · # 17

Avai

Pts

30

MP

29

W

8

GD

-8

Primary Objective

Promotion

Wins needed for direct promotion.
0%

Probability — Avai

Wins required by confidence level
75% confidence
—
90% confidence
—
99% confidence
—

ProbFut AI Analysis

Avaí saw their relegation risk jump from 45% to 73% following a 2-1 loss against Goiás. Stuck in 17th place with 30 points from 29 games, o Leão da Ilha need to win at least 5 of their last 9 matches to guarantee survival with a 75% probability. Their bounce-back bid will be tested in the Santa Catarina derby against Criciúma, set for September 27.

FAQ

Frequently Asked Questions

What are Avai's chances of achieving Promotion?
Avai has a 0.0% probability of achieving Promotion, based on Monte Carlo simulations with 20,000 iterations.