Brasileirão Série B · 2026 · # 17
Avai
Pts
30
MP
29
W
8
GD
-8
Primary Objective
Escape Relegation
Wins needed to escape direct relegation.73%
Probability — Avai
Wins required by confidence level
75% confidence
5Wins/ 9
90% confidence
6Wins/ 9
99% confidence
9Wins/ 9
ProbFut AI Analysis
Avaí saw their relegation risk jump from 45% to 73% following a 2-1 loss against Goiás. Stuck in 17th place with 30 points from 29 games, o Leão da Ilha need to win at least 5 of their last 9 matches to guarantee survival with a 75% probability. Their bounce-back bid will be tested in the Santa Catarina derby against Criciúma, set for September 27.
FAQ
Frequently Asked Questions
What are Avai's chances of achieving Escape Relegation?
Avai has a 72.8% probability of achieving Escape Relegation, based on Monte Carlo simulations with 20,000 iterations.
How many wins does Avai need for Escape Relegation?
Avai needs 6 wins in 9 remaining matches to achieve the objective with 90% confidence.