Live projections
The Kinetic
Ledger.
Complete magic-number analysis for every team. Mathematical certainty vs. atmospheric variance.
Barcelona
# 01 · 30 pts63%Champion
1st
63%
UCL
✓
REL
0%
Wins for Champion
75% confidence
23W/ 27G
90% confidence
23W/ 27G
99% confidence
27W/ 27G
Real Madrid
# 02 · 30 pts98%Champions League
1st
22%
UCL
98%
REL
0%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
13W/ 26G
90% confidence
19W/ 26G
99% confidence
19W/ 26G
Atletico Madrid
# 03 · 28 pts97%Champions League
1st
14%
UCL
97%
REL
0%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
14W/ 27G
90% confidence
16W/ 27G
99% confidence
20W/ 27G
Real Betis
# 04 · 26 pts46%Champions League
1st
1%
UCL
46%
REL
1%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
16W/ 26G
90% confidence
19W/ 26G
99% confidence
19W/ 26G
Real Sociedad
# 05 · 19 pts27%Europa League
1st
1%
UCL
17%
REL
2%
Wins for Europa League
75% confidence
15W/ 27G
90% confidence
15W/ 27G
99% confidence
18W/ 27G
Sevilla
# 06 · 18 pts24%Europa League
1st
1%
UCL
11%
REL
2%
Wins for Europa League
75% confidence
15W/ 26G
90% confidence
16W/ 26G
99% confidence
17W/ 26G
Athletic Club
# 07 · 17 pts30%Europa League
1st
1%
UCL
11%
REL
1%
Wins for Europa League
75% confidence
15W/ 26G
90% confidence
16W/ 26G
99% confidence
19W/ 26G
Deportivo La Coruna
# 08 · 15 pts19%Europa League
1st
0%
UCL
6%
REL
2%
Wins for Europa League
75% confidence
16W/ 26G
90% confidence
19W/ 26G
99% confidence
19W/ 26G
Racing Santander
# 09 · 14 pts5%Europa League
1st
0%
UCL
1%
REL
15%
Wins for Europa League
75% confidence
16W/ 26G
90% confidence
19W/ 26G
99% confidence
19W/ 26G
Alaves
# 10 · 13 pts9%Europa League
1st
0%
UCL
2%
REL
7%
Wins for Europa League
75% confidence
17W/ 26G
90% confidence
17W/ 26G
99% confidence
19W/ 26G
Rayo Vallecano
# 11 · 13 pts10%Europa League
1st
0%
UCL
3%
REL
11%
Wins for Europa League
75% confidence
17W/ 27G
90% confidence
17W/ 27G
99% confidence
20W/ 27G
Villarreal
# 12 · 12 pts18%Europa League
1st
1%
UCL
6%
REL
5%
Wins for Europa League
75% confidence
17W/ 27G
90% confidence
18W/ 27G
99% confidence
20W/ 27G
Espanyol
# 13 · 12 pts10%Europa League
1st
0%
UCL
2%
REL
7%
Wins for Europa League
75% confidence
17W/ 26G
90% confidence
19W/ 26G
99% confidence
19W/ 26G
Getafe
# 14 · 12 pts33%Escape Relegation
1st
0%
UCL
1%
REL
33%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
8W/ 27G
90% confidence
9W/ 27G
99% confidence
13W/ 27G
Osasuna
# 15 · 12 pts2%Europa League
1st
0%
UCL
1%
REL
29%
Wins for Europa League
75% confidence
17W/ 26G
90% confidence
19W/ 26G
99% confidence
19W/ 26G
Celta Vigo
# 16 · 12 pts2%Conference League
1st
0%
UCL
1%
REL
18%
Wins for Conference League
75% confidence
16W/ 27G
90% confidence
18W/ 27G
99% confidence
18W/ 27G
Levante
# 17 · 10 pts5%Europa League
1st
0%
UCL
1%
REL
16%
Wins for Europa League
75% confidence
18W/ 27G
90% confidence
20W/ 27G
99% confidence
20W/ 27G
Elche
# 18 · 10 pts4%Europa League
1st
0%
UCL
1%
REL
18%
Wins for Europa League
75% confidence
18W/ 26G
90% confidence
18W/ 26G
99% confidence
20W/ 26G
Valencia
# 19 · 9 pts54%Escape Relegation
1st
0%
UCL
1%
REL
54%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
9W/ 26G
90% confidence
13W/ 26G
99% confidence
13W/ 26G
Malaga
# 20 · 5 pts81%Escape Relegation
1st
0%
UCL
1%
REL
81%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
11W/ 26G
90% confidence
11W/ 26G
99% confidence
13W/ 26G