Live projections
The Kinetic
Ledger.
Complete magic-number analysis for every team. Mathematical certainty vs. atmospheric variance.
Barcelona
# 01 · 12 pts39%Champions League
1st
14%
UCL
39%
REL
4%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
21W/ 34G
90% confidence
25W/ 34G
99% confidence
25W/ 34G
Alaves
# 02 · 10 pts29%Champions League
1st
9%
UCL
29%
REL
8%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
22W/ 34G
90% confidence
23W/ 34G
99% confidence
25W/ 34G
Real Madrid
# 03 · 9 pts27%Champions League
1st
8%
UCL
27%
REL
8%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
22W/ 34G
90% confidence
23W/ 34G
99% confidence
25W/ 34G
Real Betis
# 04 · 9 pts25%Champions League
1st
7%
UCL
25%
REL
10%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
22W/ 34G
90% confidence
23W/ 34G
99% confidence
25W/ 34G
Deportivo La Coruna
# 05 · 8 pts24%Champions League
1st
7%
UCL
24%
REL
11%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
23W/ 34G
90% confidence
25W/ 34G
99% confidence
25W/ 34G
Sevilla
# 06 · 7 pts22%Champions League
1st
5%
UCL
22%
REL
12%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
23W/ 34G
90% confidence
25W/ 34G
99% confidence
27W/ 34G
Atletico Madrid
# 07 · 7 pts22%Champions League
1st
6%
UCL
22%
REL
12%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
23W/ 34G
90% confidence
25W/ 34G
99% confidence
27W/ 34G
Osasuna
# 08 · 7 pts21%Champions League
1st
5%
UCL
21%
REL
12%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
23W/ 34G
90% confidence
25W/ 34G
99% confidence
29W/ 34G
Athletic Club
# 09 · 6 pts21%Champions League
1st
5%
UCL
21%
REL
13%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
23W/ 34G
90% confidence
25W/ 34G
99% confidence
29W/ 34G
Levante
# 10 · 5 pts20%Champions League
1st
5%
UCL
20%
REL
14%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
24W/ 34G
90% confidence
25W/ 34G
99% confidence
29W/ 34G
Espanyol
# 11 · 4 pts16%Champions League
1st
3%
UCL
16%
REL
17%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
24W/ 34G
90% confidence
25W/ 34G
99% confidence
29W/ 34G
Racing Santander
# 12 · 4 pts17%Champions League
1st
4%
UCL
17%
REL
18%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
24W/ 34G
90% confidence
25W/ 34G
99% confidence
29W/ 34G
Rayo Vallecano
# 13 · 4 pts17%Champions League
1st
3%
UCL
17%
REL
17%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
24W/ 34G
90% confidence
25W/ 34G
99% confidence
29W/ 34G
Real Sociedad
# 14 · 4 pts16%Champions League
1st
3%
UCL
16%
REL
17%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
24W/ 34G
90% confidence
25W/ 34G
99% confidence
29W/ 34G
Getafe
# 15 · 3 pts18%Champions League
1st
4%
UCL
18%
REL
17%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
24W/ 35G
90% confidence
26W/ 35G
99% confidence
30W/ 35G
Villarreal
# 16 · 2 pts15%Champions League
1st
3%
UCL
15%
REL
19%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
25W/ 34G
90% confidence
29W/ 34G
99% confidence
29W/ 34G
Celta Vigo
# 17 · 2 pts13%Champions League
1st
2%
UCL
13%
REL
21%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
25W/ 34G
90% confidence
29W/ 34G
99% confidence
29W/ 34G
Malaga
# 18 · 2 pts13%Champions League
1st
2%
UCL
13%
REL
22%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
25W/ 34G
90% confidence
29W/ 34G
99% confidence
29W/ 34G
Elche
# 19 · 1 pts14%Champions League
1st
3%
UCL
14%
REL
22%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
25W/ 35G
90% confidence
26W/ 35G
99% confidence
30W/ 35G
Valencia
# 20 · 1 pts10%Champions League
1st
2%
UCL
10%
REL
26%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
25W/ 34G
90% confidence
29W/ 34G
99% confidence
29W/ 34G