Live projections
The Kinetic
Ledger.
Complete magic-number analysis for every team. Mathematical certainty vs. atmospheric variance.
Barcelona
# 01 · 21 pts64%Champions League
1st
30%
UCL
64%
REL
1%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
17W/ 31G
90% confidence
19W/ 31G
99% confidence
19W/ 31G
Atletico Madrid
# 02 · 16 pts39%Champions League
1st
11%
UCL
39%
REL
4%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
19W/ 31G
90% confidence
19W/ 31G
99% confidence
23W/ 31G
Real Betis
# 03 · 16 pts35%Champions League
1st
9%
UCL
35%
REL
4%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
19W/ 31G
90% confidence
23W/ 31G
99% confidence
23W/ 31G
Real Madrid
# 04 · 15 pts36%Champions League
1st
10%
UCL
36%
REL
4%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
19W/ 31G
90% confidence
23W/ 31G
99% confidence
23W/ 31G
Sevilla
# 05 · 13 pts25%Champions League
1st
5%
UCL
25%
REL
8%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
20W/ 31G
90% confidence
21W/ 31G
99% confidence
23W/ 31G
Alaves
# 06 · 11 pts21%Champions League
1st
5%
UCL
21%
REL
10%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
20W/ 31G
90% confidence
21W/ 31G
99% confidence
23W/ 31G
Real Sociedad
# 07 · 10 pts17%Champions League
1st
3%
UCL
17%
REL
14%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
21W/ 31G
90% confidence
23W/ 31G
99% confidence
23W/ 31G
Deportivo La Coruna
# 08 · 10 pts19%Champions League
1st
4%
UCL
19%
REL
12%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
21W/ 31G
90% confidence
23W/ 31G
99% confidence
23W/ 31G
Villarreal
# 09 · 8 pts17%Champions League
1st
3%
UCL
17%
REL
14%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
21W/ 31G
90% confidence
23W/ 31G
99% confidence
27W/ 31G
Athletic Club
# 10 · 8 pts18%Champions League
1st
3%
UCL
18%
REL
14%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
21W/ 32G
90% confidence
22W/ 32G
99% confidence
24W/ 32G
Getafe
# 11 · 8 pts13%Champions League
1st
2%
UCL
13%
REL
18%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
22W/ 31G
90% confidence
22W/ 31G
99% confidence
27W/ 31G
Rayo Vallecano
# 12 · 8 pts14%Champions League
1st
2%
UCL
14%
REL
16%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
22W/ 31G
90% confidence
22W/ 31G
99% confidence
25W/ 31G
Osasuna
# 13 · 8 pts12%Champions League
1st
2%
UCL
12%
REL
20%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
21W/ 31G
90% confidence
23W/ 31G
99% confidence
27W/ 31G
Espanyol
# 14 · 7 pts12%Champions League
1st
2%
UCL
12%
REL
19%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
22W/ 31G
90% confidence
23W/ 31G
99% confidence
27W/ 31G
Racing Santander
# 15 · 7 pts12%Champions League
1st
2%
UCL
12%
REL
20%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
22W/ 31G
90% confidence
22W/ 31G
99% confidence
27W/ 31G
Celta Vigo
# 16 · 7 pts13%Champions League
1st
2%
UCL
13%
REL
19%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
22W/ 31G
90% confidence
23W/ 31G
99% confidence
27W/ 31G
Levante
# 17 · 5 pts13%Champions League
1st
2%
UCL
13%
REL
20%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
22W/ 32G
90% confidence
24W/ 32G
99% confidence
28W/ 32G
Elche
# 18 · 5 pts9%Champions League
1st
1%
UCL
9%
REL
23%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
22W/ 31G
90% confidence
23W/ 31G
99% confidence
27W/ 31G
Valencia
# 19 · 4 pts7%Champions League
1st
1%
UCL
7%
REL
30%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
23W/ 31G
90% confidence
27W/ 31G
99% confidence
27W/ 31G
Malaga
# 20 · 3 pts6%Champions League
1st
1%
UCL
6%
REL
32%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
23W/ 31G
90% confidence
27W/ 31G
99% confidence
27W/ 31G