Brasileirão Série A · 2026 · # 20
Chapecoense-sc
Pts
18
MP
27
W
3
GD
-24
Primary Objective
Escape Relegation
Wins needed to escape direct relegation.✓
Probability — Chapecoense-sc
Wins required by confidence level
75% confidence
9Wins/ 11
90% confidence
9Wins/ 11
99% confidence
9Wins/ 11
ProbFut AI Analysis
Despite a heroic 1-1 draw against Atletico-MG, Chapecoense-sc remain stuck at the bottom of the table on 18 points, with probabilistic models rating relegation at nearly 100%. A Chape would need 9 wins from their remaining 11 matches to reach safety at the 75% confidence threshold, a virtually impossible scenario given their return of just 3 wins in 27 rounds. The Santa Catarina outfit next face Vitoria on October 7.
FAQ
Frequently Asked Questions
What are Chapecoense-sc's chances of achieving Escape Relegation?
Chapecoense-sc has a 99.8% probability of achieving Escape Relegation, based on Monte Carlo simulations with 20,000 iterations.
How many wins does Chapecoense-sc need for Escape Relegation?
Chapecoense-sc needs 9 wins in 11 remaining matches to achieve the objective with 90% confidence.