Brasileirão Série A · 2026 · # 20
Chapecoense-sc
Pts
14
MP
23
W
2
GD
-22
Primary Objective
Escape Relegation
Wins needed to escape direct relegation.✓
Probability — Chapecoense-sc
Wins required by confidence level
75% confidence
10Wins/ 15
90% confidence
10Wins/ 15
99% confidence
11Wins/ 15
ProbFut AI Analysis
Chapecoense-sc edged Sao Paulo 1-0 at the Arena Condá, but remain rooted to the bottom of the table with 14 points from 23 matches. Mathematically eliminated from title and Libertadores contention, Chape carry a 100% probability of relegation in simulations and need 10 wins from their final 15 matches to pursue an unlikely survival scenario at 75%. Their next challenge is against Gremio on August 30.
FAQ
Frequently Asked Questions
What are Chapecoense-sc's chances of achieving Escape Relegation?
Chapecoense-sc has a 99.7% probability of achieving Escape Relegation, based on Monte Carlo simulations with 20,000 iterations.
How many wins does Chapecoense-sc need for Escape Relegation?
Chapecoense-sc needs 10 wins in 15 remaining matches to achieve the objective with 90% confidence.